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18 points
Stanley Greenberg: “The press dutifully reports that President Trump has the approval of 85% of Republicans, and this poll shows he has 87%. But that is not the same as enthusiasm, and on that Democrats have a big gap: a stunning 85% strongly disapprove; while 67% of Republicans strongly approve. That is an 18 point enthusiasm gap. (And we know from 2018, it was the less enthusiastic Republicans who did not vote or shifted to the Democrats.) This gap is twice the enthusiasm gap on the president that gave the Democrats such a victory in 2018.”
78%
A new Latino Decisions poll found only 21% of Latinos said they would probably or definitely vote for Donald Trump in 2020, with only 13% saying they “definitely” would. An overwhelming majority —almost eight-in-ten (78%)—said they are strongly or somewhat “frustrated with how Trump and his allies treat immigrants and Latinos” and are worried things will get worse.
13 points
A new IBD/TIPP poll finds Joe Biden leading Donald Trump in a general election match up by 13 points, 49% to 35%. The other matchups were closer: Sanders leads 50% to 45%, Warren leads 49% to 45%, and Harris leads 47% to 45%. In the Democratic primary, Biden leads with 30%, followed by Elizabeth Warren at 17%, Bernie Sanders at 15% and Kamala Harris at 11%.
6
“It’s the DNC’s first round of staff hires in battleground states, drawing an early outline of the 2020 electoral map: Florida, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, four of the closest states that Trump won in 2016, as well as Arizona — which has slowly been moving to the left in recent years and voted for Trump by a narrow 3.5 percentage points in 2016 — and Ohio, a traditional swing state that some Democrats argue should be considered a second-tier priority in 2020,” Politico reports.
22%
A new Associated Press-NORC poll finds just 22% of Democrats registered to vote say they know a lot about the presidential candidates’ positions, while 62% say they know a little. And only 35% say they’re paying close attention to the campaign, with almost two-thirds saying they’re paying some or no attention.
“Let me make something 100% clear to the American public and anyone running for public office: It is illegal for any person to solicit, accept, or receive anything of value from a foreign national in connection with a U.S. election. This is not a novel concept.“
— Ellen Weintraub, the head of the Federal Election Commission, “released a statement on Thursday evening reiterating, emphatically, that foreign assistance is illegal in U.S. elections,” Politico reports.
“With Trump gone you’re going to begin to see things change. Because these folks know better. They know this isn’t what they’re supposed to be doing.”
— Joe Biden, quoted by the Daily Beast, on being able to work with Republicans.
14 points, 9 points, 5 points
A new Reuters/Ipsos poll finds Joe Biden leading Donald Trump nationally in a possible presidential match up, 50% to 36%, among registered voters. Other match ups: Bernie Sanders leads Trump 46% to 37, and Elizabeth Warren leads Trump, 43% to 38%.
54%
A new CNN poll finds that 54% of respondents say President Trump will win a second term in office, while 41% say he will be defeated in 2020.
“I’m not going to get down in the mud wrestling with this fella. I’m not going to do it. I don’t want to get into it. Everybody already knows who he is.”
— Joe Biden, quoted by Politico, on President Trump.
