Category Archives: Enumerati

Democrats in Keys States Are More Motivated to Vote

66%

A new Kaiser Family Foundation/Cook Political Report poll finds Democrats have a slight edge in enthusiasm in three key battleground states. Over six in ten Democratic voters in Pennsylvania (66%), Michigan (65%), and Wisconsin (62%) say they are more motivated to vote in next year’s 2020 presidential election than they were in 2016. This is at least 10 percentage points higher than the share of Republican voters in each state saying the same (54% in Pennsylvania, 53% in Michigan, and 46% in Wisconsin).

RNC Paid to Jam Congressional Democrats’ Phone Lines

11,000

“The Republican National Committee paid to generate thousands of calls to the congressional offices of nearly three dozen House Democrats in recent weeks, an effort that was aimed at both shaping opinion around the impeachment inquiry and tying up the phone lines of the elected officials, according to two people briefed on the effort,” the New York Times Reported. “The fact that the calls to congressional offices, estimated to number 11,000, were partly intended to jam the phone lines of House Democrats — potentially thwarting access to government offices — was described at a recent dinner of more than a dozen Republican aides, advisers and elected officials …”

Trump Trails Dems by Double Digits in Nationwide Poll

40%

“One year out from the 2020 election, President Trump trails some potential Democratic rivals in head-to-head matchups, with his national support level currently fixed at about 40%:” according to a Washington Post-ABC News poll. “Joe Biden, Sen. Bernie Sanders and Sen. Elizabeth Warren run strongest against the president nationally, with Biden leading by 17 points (56% to 39%), Warren by 15 points (55% to 40%) and Sanders by 14 points (55% to 41%). … Pete Buttigieg and Sen. Kamala D. Harris, the other two Democrats tested against Trump, also lead the president among registered voters, with Buttigieg up by 52% to 41%, and Harris ahead by 51% to 42%.”

Parties Polarized on Impeachment, Removal

89%

A new Gallup poll finds 89% of Democrats currently say President Trump should be impeached and removed from office. That compares with 71% of Democrats who in 1974 said the charges against Nixon warranted his removal from office. Among Republicans, 92% reject Trump being impeached and removed from office while just 7% are in favor of it. Under Nixon, a smaller 59% of his fellow Republicans opposed his removal from office while 31% endorsed it.

Unemployment Rising in Swing States

+1,000

Washington Post: “In more than 1,000 counties, or about one in three, the unemployment rate is higher than it was a year ago. That includes all 72 counties in Wisconsin and all 10 in New Hampshire, as well as most in Michigan, Minnesota and North Carolina. The numbers can be volatile from month to month, but this trend remains even if you look at entire quarters or years.”

The True Size of Trump’s Base

23%

The new Fox News poll shows 41% of registered voters are against impeaching President Trump. Of those, 57% say no new evidence could cause them to change their minds. That would put Trump’s true base at around 23% of registered voters.

Younger Iowans Not Buying Biden

2%

Vox looks at the recent New York Times/ Siena poll in Iowa and finds Joe Biden pulled only 2% of his support from 18- to 29-year-olds, and only 3% from 30- to 44-year-olds. His support came almost exclusively from voters older than 45.

Voters in Battleground States Back Probe, Not Removal

52% to 44%

By 52% to 44%, voters across six battleground states oppose impeaching and removing President Trump from office according to a new New York Times Upshot/Siena College poll of registered voters in Arizona, Florida, Michigan, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. But, by 52% to 44%, voters across the six states support the impeachment inquiry being conducted by the House of Representatives.

Half of Voters Ready for a Gay President

50%

A new Morning Consult poll finds 50% of voters said they were either definitely or probably ready to have a commander in chief who is openly gay, compared with 37% who said they were either definitely or probably not ready.

Trump’s Trouble in the Suburbs

51%

A new Selzer & Company poll find just 32% of all suburban voters now say they would definitely vote to re-elect President Trump, while another 14% said they would consider someone else, and 51% said they would definitely vote for a candidate other than Trump. Suburban women especially appear motivated to make their disapproval felt: 88% of suburban women said they would definitely vote in the 2020 presidential election, ten points higher than voters overall.