Tag: Polls
Obama Leads Romney By 13 Points
13
Percentage points by which Pres. Obama leads GOP frontrunner Mitt Romney in the 2012 elections horse race, according to a new Reuters/Ipsos poll. A poll released yesterday by the Washington Post found the president trailing Romney by a few points.
Gov. Deval Patrick “Resurrected” in Massachusetts
54%
Of Massachusetts voters approve of the job Deval Patrick is doing as governor, according to Public Policy Polling (PPP). The research group said Patrick’s turnaround from a 22% approval rating 17 months ago is the largest “resurrection” of a candidate since they’ve been polling nationally. It also said Democrats should try harder to convince Patrick to run for Senate against Scott Brown, whose numbers are not as high.
Rush, Hannity Ratings Dive
30%
Amount by which Rush Limbaugh’s ratings have slipped since November, according to new Arbitron research. The Sean Hannity Show is also down by 28%.
Florida’s Scott Continues to Sink in Popularity
29%
Of Floridians approve of the job Rick Scott (R/Tea) is doing as governor, according to a new Quinnipiac University poll. This figure represents a decrease from last month, when both he and the state’s legislature, which holds a Republican super majority, earned approval from 35%. Today, the legislature is even lower than Scott, at 27%. Both results are the lowest for any Florida governor or legislature in the history of the poll.
Tea Party Overstaying Its Welcome
47%
Portion of Americans reporting an unfavorable opinion of the Tea Party movement, according to a recent USA Today/Gallup poll. One year ago, only 40% reported a negative view. Among Democrats, 73% dislike the Tea Party; 60% of Republicans like it.
Most Want to See Bin Laden Death Photo
56%
Of Americans say they would like the government to release photos of Bin Laden’s dead body, according to CNN; 39% said they would not.
Voter Remorse, Cont’d: Poll Finds 28 Point Shift Away from GOP among Swing Voters Since November
Just a week after the respected pollster Charlie Cook wrote a column spotlighting rising concern among establishment Republicans about their party’s collapsing support among swing voters, a new survey from Public Policy Polling finds a 28-point shift away from the GOP since November among independents :
62 percent of voters say Republicans have either made things worse or failed to improve Congress.
The key to this strong movement back toward the Democrats right now is the same as the key to the strong movement away from the Democrats last year — fickle independents quickly growing unhappy with the party in power. Exit polls showed independents supporting the GOP by a 19 point margin last year at 56-37. Now only 30 percent of those voters think that the Republican controlled House is moving things in the right direction, compared to 44 percent who think things were better with the Democrats. Given those numbers it’s not much of a surprise that independents now say they’d vote Democratic for the House by a 42-33 margin if these was an election today, representing a 28 point reversal in a span of just five months.
The poll found no good news for the GOP:
[…]
Charlie Cook: Swing Voters’ Shift Back to Center Worries Republicans
I would be surprised if either party picked up or lost more than 10 seats, something like that. Democrats need a 25 seat net gain to get their majority back in the House. And I think that’s awfully hard. They may pick up five or 10; they may lose five or 10. I don’t see a lot of change in the House of Representatives right now.
Based on current trends and past performance — the record of the parties’ gains and losses in the House in past presidential elections — chances that Democrats will take back the House next year remain statistically unlikely.
But statistics have their limits as predictors. Events — natural disasters, wars, economic downturns and the like — can change the political landscape seemingly overnight, as can human folly and hubris.
Now, in a column published in the National Journal this week, Cook says recent developments, particularly in the tea party-controlled U.S. House, are starting to worry top Republicans:
