Tag: Polls

Polls: How Low Can Trump Go?

Buck Banks

-22

A new Strength In Numbers/Verasight poll finds President Trump at his lowest point on virtually every metric. “Trump’s overall job approval has fallen to net -22, and he’s now underwater or tied on every single issue we track, including border security, which had been his last remaining bright spot. Democrats have opened a 10-point lead on the generic congressional ballot, the widest we’ve recorded. … And voters disapprove of Trump’s tariff policy — presumably his focus, according to Vance, and which was largely invalidated by the Supreme Court last week — by 21 points.”

POLLS: Pres. Musk Is Very Unpopular

Americans don't like his drastic, haphazard chainsaw cuts to their government

Jon Ponder

Based on newly released survey results, MAGA party leader Donald Trump, who lives and breathes polling, has reason to regret selling his presidency to billionaire South African immigrant Elon Musk. A series of polls marking the first full month of the Musk presidency reveals widespread public disfavor with the drug-addled unelected president:

  • A Reuters/Ipsos poll released on Feb. 20, 2025, found Pres. Musk with a -16 approval: 55 percent unfavorable, 39 percent favorable.
  • The Pew Poll released Feb. 19 found Musk’s approval at -12: 54 percent unfavorable, 42 favorable.
  • The Economist/YouGov poll released Feb. 19 showed Musk in better shape with just a -6 approval: 49 percent unfavorable, 46 percent favorable.
  • In the latest Quinnipiac University poll, Musk’s role in government had a -12 approval rating: 54 percent approve, 42 percent disapprove.

The Economist/YouGov poll found that Musk’s drastic, haphazard chainsaw approach to downsizing the U.S. government by firing hundreds of thousands of federal workers has -17 approval: 51 percent disapprove, 34 percent approve.

Harris Holds National Lead Among Likely Voters

Buck Banks

$48% to 43%

A new USA Today/Suffolk poll finds Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump nationally among likely voters, 48% to 43%. Also interesting: In June, 73% of Biden supporters predicted he would win; now 87% of Harris voters say she will, a jump of 14 points. Also in June, 88% of Trump supporters said he would win. Now 76% do ? a majority, but still, a drop of a dozen points.

Pollster Says Trump Has Edge in Electoral College

Buck Banks

2 points

Eli McKown-Dawson: “Even if Biden fully makes up his 3-point deficit in the national polls, he’ll still be favored to lose the election. Specifically, our model thinks that the Electoral College will be biased in Trump’s favor by about 2 points in 2024. … This means that Biden is only favored to win the election if he wins the popular vote by 2 points or more; he’s the underdog otherwise.”