In a recent nationwide survey, the research organization Brightline asked: “Would you support or oppose [your state] seceding from the United States to join a new union with [list of states in new union]?”
The results found that 37 percent of respondents overall supported the secession of their region.
Does it feel like something changed at that first presidential debate of 2020? Putting aside that it was exactly the kind of debate that the year 2020 deserved, it felt like during all that bellowing, bullying, heckling, and lying, Trump pushed a few more voters away.
I’m not a pollster. My observations are just that: the most elemental of research, what I see and hear around me.
The day of the debate, I heard Trump supporters talking about recording the show like it was a ball game their team was likely to win. I heard laughter about Biden. On a neighborhood walk, I saw mostly Trump/Pence signs. They appeared early and continued to outnumber Biden signs.
The day after the debate, I heard no chortling about how well Trump did. In fact no one mentioned the debate at all, the subject just too painful. When I came home, it seemed that my neighbors’ yards filled with Biden signs overnight. No matter where my eyes fell, there was a Biden/Harris sign in view.
The official polls reflecting post-debate sentiment won’t be out for awhile. But I’m cautiously optimistic they’ll back up what I’m seeing and show that Trump is sliding just a bit, losing support every time he opens that tight, pursed mouth to let all that anger out.
Watching Trump live-tweet Biden in person was hard. But it might be what it takes to turn enough Americans away from his nightmare presidency.
After a new CNN poll came out showing Donald Trump trailing Joe Biden by 14 percentage points, the president announced he has retained Republican pollster John McLaughlin to write a memo denouncing the poll. However, Jonathan Chait points out McLaughlin is “a laughingstock within the profession.” McLaughlin has a FiveThirtyEight pollster rating of C/D and is one of the lowest-rated polls in their database.
Despite news coverage that suggests a broad-based movement advocating reopening businesses across the country, a new AP-NORC poll found that just 12% support early reopening, while 87 percent are either satisfied with the current lockdown restrictions or favor tighter controls.
Axios: “Public support for President Trump’s impeachment is higher than it was for Richard Nixon and Bill Clinton when the House launched impeachment inquiries against them.”
Why it matters: Support for impeachment of Trump is still less than half the country — 44% in the Monmouth University poll shown here; 47% in CNN. And the polling reflects a 50-50 country. But the Ukraine scandal is pushing the numbers up.”
“The Pew Research Center reported Wednesday that the response rate for its phone polls last year fell to just 6 percent — meaning pollsters could only complete interviews with 6 percent of the households in their samples. It continues the long-term decline in response rates, which had leveled off earlier this decade.”
On Dec. 21, Public Policy Polling sent out a series of tweets with results from recent polling of normal American voters. As the pollster put it, “We know people get sick of hearing what Trump voters think about things, so here's a thread on what supporters of the popular vote winner think about things…”
Here’s what PPP found in its poll of people who voted for the candidate who won the most votes in the 2016 election:
Vox: “Lyndon Johnson and Gerald Ford are excluded from this chart, as their first Decembers in office didn’t come after an electoral victory, and didn’t amount to almost a full year as president. (Still, both their approval ratings were above 35 percent, though Ford’s was the lowest — at 42 percent in December 1974 — after taking office in August following Nixon’s resignation.)”
“Wonderful to see Colin Powell, who made big mistakes on Iraq and famously, so-called weapons of mass destruction, be treated in death so beautifully by the Fake News Media. Hope that happens to me someday. He was a classic RINO, if even that, always being the first to attack other Republicans. He made plenty of mistakes, but anyway, may he rest in peace!”
— Former President Trump released a statement on the death of former Secretary of State Colin Powell.
“Now, Wacky Bill Cassidy can’t walk down the street in Louisiana, a State I won by almost 20 points. He could not even be elected dog catcher today, the great people curse him.”
— Former President Trump blasted Sen. Bill Cassidy (R-LA) on Monday after the senator said in an interview he would not vote for him if he ran for president again in 2024, The Hill reports. Trump called Cassidy a “RINO” who had “begged” for his endorsement in 2020 “and used it all over the place to win re-election.”
“It is infinitely preferable to have natural immunity than vaccine immunity and that is what I have hoped for the entire time. Hence, so, I have engaged with strangers, constantly hugging them, taking photos with them knowing that I was making myself very susceptible to getting Covid. Which is, indeed, as bizarre as it sounded, what I wanted.”
— Conservative radio host Dennis Prager announced that he has Covid-19 while he ranted against vaccines.
“This should be a 100 percent, straight-up referendum on Biden. Instead, you have Trump the narcissist trying to inject himself into what should be a glide path for Republicans to an incredibly successful election, by making it all about him.”
— Former Rep. David Jolly (R-FL), quoted by the New York Times, on the 2022 midterm elections.
A new Gallup poll finds that across 46 countries and territories, median approval of U.S. leadership stood at 49% under President Biden.
This rating is up from the 30% median approval at the end of Donald Trump’s presidency and matches the rating during former President Barack Obama’s first year in office in 2009.
Punchbowl News: “Party leaders must make progress on their stalled reconciliation package — the problem is bigger than just Sens. Joe Manchin (D-WV) and Kyrsten Sinema (D-AZ) — with the clock ticking on the Oct. 31 deadline for voting on the $1 trillion bipartisan infrastructure bill. It is just 13 days away.”
A new Pew Research survey finds that Americans who relied most on former President Donald Trump and the White House coronavirus task force for Covid-19 news in the early days of the pandemic are now among those least likely to have been vaccinated against the virus.
This reinforces criticism of the news media for running Trump’s briefings live.
A new Pew Research poll finds President Biden’s approval rate upside down at 44% to 53%, a sharp decline since July. “There also are signs that the public is generally becoming more pessimistic: Just 26% say they are satisfied with the way things are going in the country, down from 33% six months ago. And while views of current economic conditions remain lackluster – 26% rate them as excellent or good – expectations for the economy over the next year have become more negative than they were in the spring.”