Clinton Can Say It Loud When She Really Means It

The science is clear: The earth is round, the sky is blue, and #vaccineswork. Let’s protect all our kids. #GrandmothersKnowBest

Former Secretary of State and Senator Hillary Clinton, weighing in on Twitter about the anti-vaccination movement, which is responsible for recent measles outbreaks. Clinton, who wasn’t as plain-spoken about her support for same-sex marriage during an appearance on NPR’s Fresh Air, seemed to be reacting to statements from Gov. Chris Christie (R-NJ) and Sen. Rand Paul (R-Ky) expressing support for parents who choose not to vaccinate. Both are potential 2016 presidential candidates, as is Clinton.

GOP Developing Oppo Research on Bill and Hillary Clinton

Listen, we’re writing a Hillary Clinton book now, we have a research team that’s in Little Rock, so we’re not going to be shy about it… We’re going to be active. We’re going to get whatever we have to to share with the American people the truth about Hillary and Bill Clinton.

— RNC Chairman Reince Priebus, telling Bloomberg that the Republican party has already started a major opposition research effort against Hillary Clinton.

The Odds Are Really Long that Hillary Clinton Will Win in 2016

When it comes to making predictions about 2016, there are lots of important numbers to follow. The unemployment rate. Consumer confidence. The president’s approval rating. The horse race polls. But, in my mind, the most important data point to follow is the one which measures Americans’ desire to stay the current course or try a different one in 2016. … History tells us that the odds of a Clinton presidency are long. In the modern era (well, really since Andrew Jackson in 1836), no Democrat has succeeded a 2-term Democratic president.

— Amy Walter, writing for the Cook Political Report.

Jeb Bush’s Electability is Far from Inevitable

In two solid years of being pitted against Hillary Clinton in polls, Bush has not led a single one, and trails her in the latest RealClearPolitics average by over 9%. That’s a poorer margin than for Ryan (6%), Christie (7%), and Huckabee (8%), and about the same as for Paul. Ted Cruz is the only regularly polled putative GOP candidate running significantly worse than Bush against HRC (an RCP average gap of 13%), and that’s largely because he’s far less well-known.

— Ed Kilgore, writing in Talking Points Memo.

Cruz Tries to Tie Clinton to Obama’s Foreign Policy

The failures of the Obama-Clinton foreign policy are manifest. It’s almost as if the whole world is on fire right now.

— Sen. Ted Cruz (R-TX), doing his best to tie Hillary Clinton to President Obama as he offered sharp criticism of the “Obama-Clinton” foreign policy, the New York Times reports.