Tag: Hillary Clinton
Is Clinton Just a Field Goal Away from Winning?
88%
Hillary Clinton’s chance of winning, according to the Upshot’s model: “It’s about the same probability of hitting a field goal from the 20-yard line. … That’s a pretty good way to think about it. If Mrs. Clinton ultimately wins, we will probably look back and say she had more or less already won it by this point. If she loses, these next two months will be talked about for decades. … The game-winning field-goal analogy has one big weakness: She may win this by a lot more than a field goal.” — Nate Cohn
It’s No Time for Complacency, Democrats
At some point, complacency could become an issue, although it’s probably too early to worry about that. In the nearer term, I’d be worried that the race has been so volatile. Sure, things look good now. But conditions in May, and then again in July, produced a close race. Is there anything inherently preventing those conditions from arising again? I suppose I’d wonder about what Wikileaks has up its sleeve and what sort of geopolitical events could work in Trump’s favor.
— Nate Silver
Clinton Holds Huge Millennial Vote Lead Over Trump
56%
Of voters under the age of 35 favor Hillary Clinton, while Donald Trump is backed by only 20%, a new USA Today/Rock the Vote poll finds. “The findings have implications for politics long past the November election. If the trend continues, the Democratic Party will have scored double-digit victories among younger voters in three consecutive elections, the first time that has happened since such data became readily available in 1952. That could shape the political affiliations of the largest generation in American history for years to follow.”
Clinton Paid 34% in Taxes in 2015
34%
The effective tax rate Hillary Clinton and her husband, former President Bill Clinton, paid in 2015; they donated nearly 10% of their gross income to charity, the campaign said in a statement. “Hillary Clinton released her 2015 personal tax return on Friday, further pressuring Republican opponent Donald Trump, who has spurned a decades-old tradition by refusing to release any of his returns,” the Wall Street Journal reports.
Clinton Holds Massive Lead Over Trump Among Latinos
46 points
Margin by which Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump among Hispanic voters, 66% to 20%, a new Fox News Latino poll shows.
Trump on Withdrawal from Iraq in 2007: ‘Declare Victory and Leave’
Donald Trump has used up the last couple of news cycles repeating the ridiculous lie that Pres. Obama is the “founder of ISIS.” He also said the bloodthirsty terror group “honors” the president.
The flimsy basis of Trump’s false narrative is that U.S. troops withdrew from Iraq early in the president’s first term, and that ISIS arose to fill the power vacuum created by the U.S. withdrawal.
Never mind that ISIS began as an affiliate of Al Qaeda in Iraq, an insurgency that established itself in 2003 after the Bush administration fired more than 300,000 Iraqi soldiers and sent them home jobless, with few prospects and fully armed.
Never mind that the date of the U.S. troop withdrawal was specified in the Status of Forces agreement negotiated by the Bush administration and the democratically elected government of Iraq.
And never mind that Donald Trump himself was strongly in favor of the withdrawal at the time. When CNN’s Wolf Blitzer asked Trump in March 2007 what he thought the U.S. should do, Trump replied “Declare victory and leave.”
