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Tag: generic ballot

Democrats Lead By 8 in Generic Poll

September 7, 2026 Buck Banks

8 points

A new University of Massachusetts Amherst poll finds Democrats leading Republicans on the generic congressional ballot, 42% to 34%.

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Dems Have 11-Point Lead on Generic Ballot

July 23, 2026 Buck Banks

11

A new Emerson College survey of likely 2026 voters finds the Democrats with an 11-point advantage over the Republicans on the generic congressional ballot, leading 53% to 42%. President Trump holds a 39% job approval rating, consistent with the past two months, whereas his disapproval increased another point, to 57%.

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Generic Ballot Has Dems Up by 6 Points

January 30, 2026 Buck Banks

52%

A new Fox News poll finds that if the midterm election were today, 52% of voters would back the Democratic candidate in their House district and 46% the Republican. The current 52% Democratic support is the highest recorded for either party; the previous high was 50% for the Democrats in October 2017.

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Dems Hold Nine-Point Lead in Generic Ballot

October 23, 2025 Buck Banks

50% to 41%

A new Quinnipiac poll finds Democrats leading the generic congressional ballot by nine points, 50% to 41%.

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Democrats Have Large Lead in Generic Ballot

August 26, 2025 Buck Banks

49% to 41%

A new Strength In Numbers/Verasight poll finds Democrats leading the generic congressional ballot by a wide margin, 49% to 41%. President Trump’s job approval is at just 41% to 56%.

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GOP Ahead in Generic Congressional Ballot

April 29, 2022 Buck Banks

47% to 44%

A new NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist poll finds that 47% of voters said they are more likely to vote for the Republican in their district in this year’s midterm elections, as opposed to 44% who said they would pick a Democrat. It’s the first time in eight years that Marist’s survey has found Republicans with an advantage on the congressional ballot test.

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Dems Have Double-Digit Lead in Generic Congressional Ballot

September 12, 2019 Buck Banks

49% to 38%

A new Economist/YouGov poll finds Democrats with a double-digit lead in the generic congressional ballot, 49% to 38%.

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Democrats Maintain Lead for Congress

June 11, 2019 Buck Banks

45.9% to 40.1%

The newly-updated FiveThirtyEight generic congressional ballot tracker shows Democrats leading Republicans, 45.9% to 40.1%.

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Generic Ballot Gives Dems Double-Digit Lead

November 6, 2018 Buck Banks

55% to 42%

A new CNN/SSRS poll finds Democrats continue to hold a double-digit lead over Republicans in a generic congressional ballot among likely voters, 55% to 42%.

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Dems Up Nine Points on Generic Ballot

November 2, 2018 Buck Banks

52% to 43%

A new NPR/PBS News Hours/Marist Poll finds that Democrats lead Republicans by nine points on the generic congressional ballot, 52% to 43% among likely voters nationwide.

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Poetic Justice

Russian to Judgment
Buck Banks | Oct. 19, 2026

The United States and Ukraine no longer seem to be in synch,
After Trump lifted Russia sanctions with a grin and a wink.
Trump coordinated it with Putin,
Who ramped up the drone shooting,
After Trump and Elon Musk throttled Ukraine’s Starlink.

Comment »

Verbatim

    “Take, for example, the French Revolution. Remember when Marie Antoinette said, ‘Let them eat cake’? Now, is that a problem of accountability and tyranny, a corrupt government? Or is it a problem of affordability and standard of living? It’s both! Authoritarianism and tyranny are extremely expensive for the people. And it’s the exact same thing when you go down the line with Donald Trump. So, are we going to go after the corruption? Yeah, you’re damn right. And are we going to go after affordability and making people’s lives easier? Yeah, you’re damn right. We’re going to do both of them.”

    — Rep. Jamie Raskin (D-MD), quoted by CBS News.

    Comment  »

    “Here’s the problem with the red meat: It becomes an addiction. Once you go there and you put that out there, then you’re forced to defend it. So what do they do? They double down. They triple down again.”

    — Sen.-elect Abdul El-Sayed (D), quoted by the Washington Post, on Republicans relying on anti-Muslim attacks in the Michigan U.S. Senate race.

    Comment  »

    “If it wasn’t for President Trump the United States of America would not exist right now. This man saved America. He saved our military from collapse. He saved our economy from destruction. He saved our border from annihilation. He saved our country from threats at home and abroad which would have been the end of the American dream for ever.”

    — Stephen Miller, quoted by The Guardian, pledging “total devotion” to President Trump.

    Comment  »

Numerati

    3,824

    A record number of women are running for state legislative seats this November, more than two-thirds of whom are Democrats, reports Florida Phoenix. Across the 46 states with legislative seats on the ballot, a total of 3,824 women are running — up from 2022’s previous record of 3,621 women candidates, according to the Center for American Women and Politics at Rutgers University. Women make up 35.5% of all state legislative candidates this cycle. Currently, women hold about one-third of state legislative seats across the country — a record level of representation but nowhere near parity.

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    $1.4 billion

    “Prediction markets about the 2026 midterm elections have surpassed $1.4 billion in trading volume as Election Day fast approaches,” CNN reports. “This year has seen massive growth in the prediction industry, where people can bet on real-world events like sports, entertainment and the weather. While small-scale election markets have been around for a while, they gained traction before the 2024 presidential election and have seen huge numbers for the 2026 midterms.”

    Comment  » 

    -35 points

    G. Elliot Morris: “Low-knowledge 2024 voters say they backed Trump by 8 points, according to our poll. Today they give him a net job approval of ?27, a 35-point shift. Compare that to Trump’s approval rating among voters who got both questions right: These voters backed Harris by 1 point and now give Trump a net ?24 approval, a 23-point shift. … Low-information voters have moved against Trump at a higher rate than high-information voters, by 12 points.”

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    31%

    President Donald ?Trump’s approval rating fell to a record low as Americans worried about high gasoline prices and appeared ready to punish his Republican Party in the November 3 congressional elections, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll that closed on Monday. Some 31% of Americans approve of Trump’s ?performance in office, down a percentage point from two weeks earlier and the lowest level in ?either of his presidential terms, the four-day poll showed.

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    63% to 38%

    KFF Poll: “With the 2026 midterm campaigns in full swing and early voting about to begin, there is a wide enthusiasm gap between partisan voters, with Democratic voters 25 percentage points more likely than Republican voters to say they are ‘more motivated’ than usual to vote (63% vs. 38%).”

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