The GOP Has a Huge Hurdle to a Senate Takeover

If Republicans are to win the Senate, they probably are going to have to do something they haven’t done since 1980: beat more than two Democratic Senate incumbents in November. … In that Reagan Revolution election — one of the best for the Republican Party in its entire history — the GOP flipped 12 seats held by a Democratic incumbent who sought another term … Incredibly, in the 16 Senate elections since then, the Republicans have flipped only 12 Democratic Senate seats where the incumbent was running again: It’s taken them three decades worth of elections to match the achievement of that single 1980 effort.

— Kyle Kondik, writing for Sabato’s Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia’s Center for Politics.

Manchin to Wait Until After Midterms to See Whether He Will Continue to Be Unproductive in the Senate

I’m going to wait until the 2014 election is over, and then I’m going to see what I should do. I’ve never been in a less productive time in my life than I am right now, in the United States Senate.

— Sen. Joe Manchin (D-WV), in an interview with Time, on his political future.

Half of Americans Say Midterm Results Won’t Help Economy

50%

Of Americans say that Democrats or Republicans in control of Congress won’t make much of a difference in improving the economy. That’s compared with 25 percent who believe the economy will improve if Republicans control Congress, and another 23 percent who believe it will improve if Democrats are in charge, according to an NBC/WSJ/Annenberg survey.