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$1 million
“A trader made nearly $1 million since 2024 from dozens of well-timed Polymarket bets that correctly predicted US and Israeli military actions against Iran,” CNN reports. “The bettor won a staggering 93% of their five-figure wagers about Iran, even though the events they predicted were unannounced military operations.”
90%
A new CBS News poll shows majorities of Americans think it’s important for the U.S. to end the war as soon as possible (92 percent), guarantee the freedom of Iranians (80 percent), end Iran’s nuclear programs for good (73 percent) and end the war without Iran’s current leaders in power (53 percent). Americans overall think that the war is going badly — and, by a 2-to-1 margin, they’re not willing to pay more for gas.
65%
“Some ?65% of Americans believe President Donald Trump will order troops into a large-scale ground war in Iran and ?just 7% support that idea, a Reuters/Ipsos poll found.
-26 points
G. Elliot Morris: “In our data, this group recalled voting for Trump by 22 points in 2024. But these voters now give him a net approval of -4 — or a 26-point swing against him.” “The working-class whites who powered Trump’s rise are, for the first time, opposed to how he’s handling his job as president.”
59%
A new Economist/YouGov Poll finds 59% of Americans say the economy is getting worse.
$10 million
“The United States said it was offering up to $10 million, and the potential opportunity to relocate, for information on the whereabouts of 10 senior Islamic Republic leaders,” CBS News reports.
$150 million
“Russia is earning as much as $150 million a day in extra budget revenues from its oil sales, making it the biggest winner from the conflict in the Middle East,” the Financial Times reports.
22%
The latest NBC News poll shows that 22% of registered voters nationally said they have a “great deal” or “quite a bit” of confidence in the Supreme Court. Another 40% said they had “some” confidence, while 38% said they had “very little” or “no” confidence.
57%
A new NBC News poll finds majority of registered voters, 57%, said they believe the risks of AI outweigh its benefits, compared with 34% who said the opposite. What’s more, a plurality of voters view AI negatively and don’t believe either Democrats or Republicans are doing a good job handling policy related to the rapidly advancing technology. Just 26% of voters say they have positive feelings about AI, compared with 46% who hold negative views.
53%
A new Quinnipiac poll finds 53% of voters oppose the U.S. military action against Iran, while 40% support it. Sixty-two percent of voters think the Trump administration has not provided a clear explanation of the reasons behind the United States’ military action against Iran, while 35 percent think the Trump administration has provided a clear explanation.
