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65%
Of Democrats say they will definitely vote — well below their average for the prior four presidential elections (77%), whereas the 76% of Republicans saying they will definitely vote is only a bit lower than their prior average (81%).“Amid the news frenzy leading up to the first general election debate of 2016, fewer U.S. adults rate themselves highly likely to vote for president than did so in September of each of the past four presidential election years.”
— Gallup
9 points
Difference in the percentage of Republicans likely to vote in the 2016 election versus Democrats, compared with a 6-point deficit in the year leading up to Barack Obama’s 2012 victory, according to a new Reuters/Ipsos poll. Key finding: “While the American electorate has become more diverse the last three years, the party’s support among Hispanic likely voters and younger likely voters has shrunk significantly.”