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38%
A new Fox News poll finds just 38% of voters approve of the job the Supreme Court is doing, down 3 points from April 2023 (41%) and down 20 points from a high of 58% in March 2017.
$45 million
“Elon Musk has said he plans to commit around $45 million a month to a new super political-action committee backing former President Donald Trump’s presidential run,” the Wall Street Journal reports. “Formed in June, America PAC is focused on registering voters and persuading constituents to vote early and request mail-in ballots in swing states.”
27%
Nate Silver updated his election forecast and finds Joe Biden has a 27% chance of winning the electoral vote. His chances were 35% just before the presidential debate.
$1 billion
“The IRS announced Thursday that it has collected $1 billion in back taxes from high-wealth tax cheats — a milestone meant to showcase how the agency is making use of the money it received as part of the Biden administration’s signature climate, health care, and tax package signed into law in 2022,” the AP reports.
56%
“The Wall Street Journal’s survey, conducted July 5-9, received responses from 68 professional forecasters from business, Wall Street and academia. Of the 50 who answered questions about Trump and Biden, 56% said inflation would be higher under another Trump term than a Biden term, versus 16% who said the opposite. The remainder saw no material difference.”
46% – 46%
Results of a Washington Post poll released July 11 that found Pres. Biden tied with Donald Trump. The poll also found that 56 percent of Democrats want Biden replaced at the top of the ticket.
2 points
Eli McKown-Dawson: “Even if Biden fully makes up his 3-point deficit in the national polls, he’ll still be favored to lose the election. Specifically, our model thinks that the Electoral College will be biased in Trump’s favor by about 2 points in 2024. … This means that Biden is only favored to win the election if he wins the popular vote by 2 points or more; he’s the underdog otherwise.”
41% to 40%
A new Data for Progress poll finds Donald Trump edging Joe Biden in a six person race, 41% to 40%. They are followed by Robert F. Kennedy Jr. at 10%, and minor party candidates Cornel West, Jill Stein, and Chase Oliver each at 1%. In a two-way race, Biden is slightly ahead of Trump, 47% to 46%.
94%
Percentage of Biden supporters polled before and after the debate who said they still support him. Among Trump supporters, 86 percent said they’ll stand by their man. Polling was conducted by the Northeastern University-led data project CHIP50 using surveys of the same people before and after the debate, a method that produces more precise results, according to CHIP50.
$61 million
“Donald Trump’s allies are moving to capitalize on Joe Biden’s stumbles,” Politico reports. “A big-spending super PAC linked to Republican mega-donor Miriam Adelson is set to spend $61 million on TV and digital ads attacking Biden, as the besieged president faces calls from within his own party to step aside following his disastrous debate performance.”
