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Somebody should be indicted over Right to Rise. I would sue them for fraud.
— GOP donor Doug Deason, quoted by The Hill, about the super PAC that supported Jeb Bush’s presidential campaign.
172
Number of Republican delegates up for grabs today, Reuters reports. As we discussed last week, he can’t clinch the nomination tonight. But the most competitive state tonight is Maryland, where Trump has a cozy 20 point lead. That’s the main reason we see Kasich and Ted Cruz trying to play nice with each other in Indiana, Oregon and New Mexico: to deny Trump the requisite 1,237 delegates to clinch the nomination.
46% to 43%
Hillary Clinton’s lead over Donald Trump in a general election matchup, with 11% undecided, according to a new GW Battleground Poll. Pollster Ed Goeas: “The Republican Party has a strongly favorable political environment for winning the White House. If a mainstream Republican candidate were the presumptive nominee, the GOP would likely be in a strong position for a lot of wins, top to bottom, in November.”
I can do presidential folks, believe me.
— Donald Trump, quoted by NBC News, adding that it was “easy.”
I have never been more worried about the Republican Party breaking apart than I am today.
— Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-SC), quoted by The Hill.
25
Number of states with the highest levels of income inequality. Of those, 17 have held primaries so far, and Hillary Clinton has won 16 of them, NBC News reports. When asked why he thinks he’s losing in those states, Sen. Bernie Sanders responded: “Well, because poor people don’t vote. I mean, that’s just a fact.”
It also helps that Trump’s system-is-rigged message is relatively simple and plays into the media’s master narrative of the Republican race as a conflict between the Republican base and the GOP establishment. The Republicans’ delegate selection rules, by contrast, require an attention to detail that narrative-driven stories about the Republican race can misconstrue.
1,285
Number of delegates (or more) Sam Wang predicts Donald Trump will accrue in the remaining GOP primary votes (1,237 are required to win the nomination outright), using two independent methods for estimating the results of the remaining Republican primaries without relying on either demographics or polls. The first is a border-county analysis and the second relies on Google Correlate.
His campaign manager is now a big-time Washington lobbyist. They’ve brought in tons of Washington lobbyists. This has become the Washington campaign.
— Ted Cruz, intensifying “his rhetorical attacks on Donald Trump, attempting to tie the Republican front-runner’s recent campaign shake-up and hires to the Washington establishment that conservative voters oppose,” Politico reports.
