Negative Ads are Working — Against McCain

The good news is being odious is really dragging down John McCain and Sarah Palin. The bad news is they might stop.

Registered voters say McCain is more focused on attacking his opponent than addressing the issues

After more than a week of pitbull Palin’s assertion that Barack Obama pals around with “terr’ists,” some polls put Obama/Biden up as much as 10 points overall, with one ABC/Washington Post survey showing little doubt about who being negative is hurting.

Registered voters by a 24-point margin, 59-35 percent, now say McCain is more focused on attacking his opponent rather than addressing the issues. That’s grown from a roughly even 48-45 percent split on this question in late August.

There’s far less criticism of the tone of Obama’s campaign: Registered voters by 68-26 percent say he’s mainly addressing the issues…

In an almost unheard of circumstance these days, when people perceive everything through a filter of political affiliation, McCain’s and Palin’s behavior registers the same, regardless of party registration.

Republicans, despite their general antipathy toward Obama, don’t broadly see him as running a negative campaign; they divide essentially evenly on the question, 44-46 percent. Democrats, by contrast, overwhelmingly say McCain’s going negative, 80-16 percent.

The deciding factor, as ever in presidential politics, is independents. They see McCain as mainly attacking his opponent, by 61-33 percent, but Obama as mainly addressing the issues, by 68-26 percent.

After John McCain had to personally face the lynch mob he and Palin have fired up, his campaign is said to have had a change of heart.

The Arizona senator and Palin changed their tactics again this weekend, toning down their rhetoric and insisting to their supporters that they will battle Obama but with “respect.”

I’ll believe it when I see it. I had to endure the following piece of excrescence at least three times each during Extreme Makeover Home Edition and Brothers and Sisters last night. Doesn’t sound too respectful to me, nor does it give me much of an idea about what McCain’s plan is for the economy.

Dobson Focusing on Florida Families Through Surrogate Crusader

The links between Florida’s proposed Amendment 2 and James Dobson’s Focus on the Family are exposed in an editorial in the South Florida Sun-Sentinel. Stephen Goldstein explains some of the problems with the initiative.

Goldstein: “If you have ever hesitated to believe in conspiracy theories, you have reason to believe one now”

Floridians will be given a chance to vote for or against frivolous, mean-spirited Constitutional Amendment 2, banning same-sex marriage, which is already illegal here…

The amendment should never have been allowed on the ballot because, if approved, its confusing wording will jeopardize the status and benefits of unmarried, domestic, heterosexual partners and their children, not just ban same-sex marriages: “Inasmuch as marriage is the legal union of only one man and one woman as husband and wife, no other legal union that is treated as marriage or the substantial equivalent thereof shall be valid or recognized.”

Everyone knows Orlando personal injury lawyer John Stemberger is leading the call for “protecting” marriage. That Focus on the Family is behind this bad idea isn’t widely noted.

If you have ever hesitated to believe in conspiracy theories, you have reason to believe one now. Amendment 2 has been made to look home-grown, but…It’s an integral part of a multi-state, carpetbagger strategy to shape America in the image of Dr. James Dobson, self-anointed prescriber of moral values.

From Colorado, his Focus on the Family wants to tell us how to live…Floridians are being used as pawns in an assault that is as much big business as religion. For the fiscal year ending Sept. 30, 2006, Dobson’s Focus on the Family had revenue of $142 million and assets of $79 million…

But Stemberger and Dobson seem to realize that just as the amendment’s true backers don’t want to be seen, neither do its financial supporters.

[…]

Perino: McCain Can Win Like Bush Did in 2000

We all know how George Bush “won” the presidency in 2000. His press secretary, however, doesn’t seem to. Dana Perino says McCain can win just like W did. Rut-roh.

If McCain “wins” like Bush did in 2000, he will be presiding over the next civil war

“The president is convinced that John McCain has still time to close up this race,” Perino told reporters on Air Force One. “He remembers when he was running in 2000 and how far he was down before the election, and he came back to win.”

No Dana. He came back to be awarded the presidency by the Supreme Court, despite that fact that he lost the popular vote. The numbers were 48.38 percent for Gore, 47.87 percent for Bush, and 2.74 percent for Nader.

If McCain thinks he can “win” like Bush did and then lead the country with Palin at his side and not preside over the next civil war, he needs to up his meds.

Florida’s Marriage Protection Amendment: Why Invite the Government Into Private Matters?

Florida’s Amendment 2, the so-called “Protection of Marriage” initiative, is unnecessary (it’s already illegal for gays to marry in Florida); likely unconstitutional (a Kentucy marriage protection law is currently under review); and bad for seniors (who often lose benefits if they marry), unmarried victims of domestic abuse (similar initiatives have been used to argue no legal relationship existed, setting the abuser free), and anyone involved in a “common law” arrangement. That’s why all but the most uninformed or unenlightened are against it.

If you’re in Florida, vote no on Amendment 2. If you’re in California, vote no on Proposition 8. If you’re in a state that has a marriage protection initiative on the ballot we haven’t mentioned, let us know so we can urge voters in your state to defeat it too.

Palin Unanimously Cited for Abuse of Power by Legislative Panel of 8 Gops, 4 Dems

Sarah Palin was elected governor of Alaska by touting her experience as an ethics reformer. Yesterday, however, a panel composed of eight Republican and four Democratic Alaska legislators voted unanimously to approve a finding citing Palin for abuse of power:
Governor Palin knowingly permitted a situation to continue where impermissible pressure was placed on several subordinates in order to advance a personal agenda,

[Palin] abused her power in pushing for the firing of a state trooper once married to her sister and by allowing her husband to use the governor’s office in a crusade against the officer, a legislative investigation found.

“Governor Palin knowingly permitted a situation to continue where impermissible pressure was placed on several subordinates in order to advance a personal agenda, to wit: to get Trooper Michael Wooten fired,” concluded investigator Steve Branchflower in his report made public Friday.

The governor let her husband, Todd, use the governor’s office and its resources, “including access to state employees, to continue to contact subordinate state employees in an effort to find some way to get Trooper Wooten fired,” Branchflower wrote.

“She had the authority and power to require Mr. Palin to cease contacting subordinates, but she failed to act,” he wrote.

This created conflicts of interests for the state employees Todd Palin was contacting. “They must choose to either please a superior or run the risk of facing that superior’s displeasure and the possible consequences of such displeasure. This was one of the very reasons the Ethics Act was promulgated by the Legislature,” Branchflower wrote.

Palin also made several inquiries herself about why Wooten remained on the job shortly after she became governor, Branchflower said.

Republicans on the panel gave Palin cover in two ways. Although the report clearly states Palin abused power, it also says she legally had the right to Public Safety Commissioner Walter Monegan, despite the fact that she improperly failed to stop her cronies from illegally pressuring Monegan to fire Wooten. This contradiction gives the McCain campaign cover to say that Palin was exonerrated by the panel, even though the report says her actions were improper.

Secondly, the panel delayed approving the report until late Friday evening, well past the East Coast news cycle. The delay was apparently an attempt to tamp down news coverage of the story.

The delay has apparently worked. While most daily newspapers reported the results of the investigation on their front pages, the story was not leading the news cycles on CNN or MSNBC early Saturday morning, and there has been scant mention of it, if any, on Fox News.

WashTimes: Obama Injected Himself into Negotiations Between Bush and Iraqis

Rightwing media bias: The lead story in today’s Washington Times implies that Barack Obama interfered with negotiations between the Bush administration and the Iraqi government over extending the right of the United States to occupy Iraq after a United Nations mandate expires on Dec. 31:
“Do you think it is appropriate for a presidential candidate to inject himself in a sitting president’s negotiations with another country during wartime?”
– WashTimes poll question adjacent to article

At the same time the Bush administration was negotiating a still elusive agreement to keep the U.S. military in Iraq, Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obama tried to convince Iraqi leaders in private conversations that the president shouldn’t be allowed to enact the deal without congressional approval…

[The conversation] stirred controversy over the appropriateness of a White House candidate’s contacts with foreign governments while the sitting president is conducting a war.

Both the Obama campaign and Iraq’s ambassador to the United States, Samir Sumaidaie, confirmed that the conversation took place, and even the Times reporter, Barbara Slavin, who once worked for USA Today, admits that both sides “said the conversation was at Mr. Zebari’s request.” Even so, Slavin writes:

“In the conversation, the senator urged Iraq to delay the [memorandum of understanding] between Iraq and the United States until the new administration was in place,” [said Sumaidaie].

He said Mr. Zebari replied that any such agreement would not bind a new administration. “The new administration will have a free hand to opt out,” he said the foreign minister told Mr. Obama.

Mr. Sumaidaie did not participate in the call, he said, but stood next to Mr. Zebari during the conversation and was briefed by him immediately afterward.

The call was not recorded by either side, and Mr. Zebari did not respond to repeated telephone and e-mail messages requesting direct comment.

The Obama campaign denies Obama recommended stalling the negotiations:

The Obama campaign told the paper that the Illinois Democrat was speaking to Iraqi officials in his capacity as a U.S. senator and member of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee. The campaign pointed out that Obama spoke to Iraqi officials just days after a U.S. Senate delegation, including two Republicans, wrote to Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice and Defense Secretary Robert M. Gates urging consultation over any agreements committing U.S. troops and civilian contractors to Iraq “for an extended period of time,” the paper reported.

Obama campaign spokeswoman Wendy Morigi added: “It’s obvious that others are trying to mischaracterize Obama’s position, [but] on numerous occasions he has made it perfectly clear that the United States only has one president at a time and that the administration speaks with one voice.”

While Slavin pulls her punches in characterizing the conversation between Obama and Zebari, a poll adjacent to the story on the Times’ webpage asks this question:

Do you think it is appropriate for a presidential candidate to inject himself in a sitting president’s negotiations with another country during wartime?

Since even Slavin admits Zebari reached out to Obama, Obama certainly did not “inject” himself into the negotiations. The Washington Times is owned by the Unification Church, a rightwing religious cult based in Korea, and this bias could explain its apparent effort to spark outrage over Obama’s perceived meddling in the Bush administration’s negotiations.

At the same time, the New York Post, which is part of the Fox News empire, has also reported that Obama suggested that Iraqi officials delay the negotiations until the next administration takes office.

The Obama Effect: Franken Up in Minnesota

Al Franken

Obama’s ability to help down the ticket — and the economy tanking — could be factors in Al Franken’s new lead in the Minnesota Senate race. Rasmussen Reports puts Franken ahead of Republican Sen. Norm Coleman with 43 percent to Coleman’s 37. A month ago, Coleman led Franken by a point.

Math whizzes will note that 43 plus 37 doesn’t equal 100, and that brings us to a complicating factor in the race. Jesse Ventura style Independent Dean Barkley is pulling in 17 percent of those polled. Of them, only 3 percent claim to be rock solid behind Barkley, who then-Gov. Ventura appointed to fill the seat of Sen. Paul Wellstone for about eight weeks after his death and until Coleman’s inauguration. So 14 percent of Barkley’s supporters could be in play. In a race where Franken is rated “very unfavorable” by 37 percent and Coleman by 29, that leaves the race pretty much a toss-up.

You can help put Franken over the top with a generous, or hell, meager, donation.

The poll was conducted in partnership with FOX Television. If they say Franken has a chance, you can feel pretty sure you’re not wasting your money by helping him.

Quote du Jour

The rush to embrace Truman tells us more about contemporary politics than about the realities of his career. The circumstances and attitudes of Bush, McCain, and Palin, have little if any in common with Truman’s. It seems safe to say that Harry Truman would not have subscribed to Bush’s effort to rescue his historical reputation through suggestions that, like Truman, he has pursued wise policies that will eventually be vindicated. Nor would he have looked kindly on McCain’s and Palin’s use of the Truman memory to win an election.>/h3>

— Robert Dallek, presidential historian, on how Republican attempts to compare themselves to Harry Truman are wildly misguided

Letterman Not Forgiving McCain

From last night’s Late Show with David Letterman:

Now here’s this thing with John McCain…you know a couple of weeks ago, John McCain was supposed to be on the show. And at the last minute he calls me up –- and I’ve got a lot of respect…you get a call from a senator –- you get a call from a guy who is a bona fide war hero –- all of a sudden, you know, your lips start to vibrate. So I said “Sure, whatever you want.” And he says, “Look, Dave, the economy is about to crater.” It’s about to “crater,” his word. “And I have to rush back to Washington to save the economy.” And so it made me feel puny. So I said, “OK, Senator, do what you have to do. Rush right back to Washington.” And then I hung up and I felt like a patriot. I felt like I had done my part. And he was supposed to be on the show like an hour later. So now, we’re in a hole but everybody has to pull together in economic hardship times. So we all pull together and we get that guy with the big head from MSNBC. What’s his name? Keith Olbermann, yeah. Giant head. So he comes over. He’s good. He’s very good. So now it turns out, not only did he not rush back to Washington, he spent the night here in New York City. He went on Katie Couric…he was on Conan…he was on Regis…he was everywhere. So now, in an attempt to save his campaign, they’re talking about coming back. You see what I’m saying? So we said, “Sure, we would love you to come back.” And even on the phone, he said, “I’ll bring….Sarah.” But they’re being squirrely. Politicians can be squirrely. Because we have a date picked. We do this show every afternoon at 5:30. He wants to do the show at 5. So one –- we have no guarantee he’s going to show up, period. And we’ve kind of already rearranged our schedule on his behalf to save the economy, right? By getting that big-headed kid in here to talk about the politics. You know what I’m driving at? I just don’t know if we can trust him. And by the way, I don’t need to remind you that the road to the White House runs right through here.