Tag: Recession
RV Sales Are Another Leading Recession Indicator
20%
Wall Street Journal: “Shipments of recreational vehicles to dealers have fallen about 20% so far this year, after a 4.1% drop last year, according to data from the RV Industry Association. Multiyear drops in shipments have preceded the last three recessions.”
Trump’s Trade War Nudges U.S. Toward Recession
30%
Nearly 70% of economists responding to Reuters poll said the latest developments had brought the next U.S. recession closer.The chances of a U.S. recession in the coming 12 months rose to 30% from 25% in the July poll. The median probability of a recession in the next two years jumped to 45% from July’s 35%.
Another U.S. Recession Looks Likely
60%
Chance of a U.S. recession occurring in the next 12 months, according to Deutsche Bank. “The calculations attach the highest probability to a contraction since the financial crisis,“ reports the Wall Street Journal.
This Week Marks 10 Years Under the Bush Tax Cuts

In addition to being the day that the word “weiner” stopped being naughty and started being tiresome, June 7 was another milestone. According to self-proclaimed “Corporate Person American” William Rice, it deserves commemoration as the 10th anniversary of the Bush tax cuts.
It was on June 7, 2001, that President Bush signed into law the high-end tax cuts that added $2.6 trillion to the national debt. It was these tax cuts, along with two wars and a recession, that created the deficit now being cited as a reason to pretty much scrap Medicare and once again make a college education a pleasant, impossible dream among the lower classes.
Rice’s modest proposal says that government is for pansies, unless you’re a corporation and in that case, government is here for you.
We expect the government to continue providing certain vital services, of course, such as huge, no-bid defense contracts; and 24-hour, drive-through patent courts for us to fight over the profits of questionably-useful and semi-dangerous but very well-promoted new drugs. But all the peripheral activities of government — such as ensuring adequate childhood nutrition and repairing drawbridges — merely create a strain on the natural ecosystem of corporations and Corporate-Person Americans.
If Republicans continue to run the economy into the ground by refusing to look at the revenue side of the budget equation, Obama will have to borrow Pres. Reagan’s line when he ran for re-election in 1984, but with a slight adjustment: Are you better off now than you were ten years ago?


