Lots of Republicans Don’t Support Jeb Bush

42%

Of Republican primary voters say they couldn’t see themselves supporting Jeb Bush for the GOP presidential nomination, compared with 49% who said they could, according to a new Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll. “The results underscore an early theme of the Republican nominating contest: Mr. Bush might be the favorite of many top donors and operatives, but he faces hurdles in appealing to the party’s voters, giving him little room to maneuver in what promises to be a crowded field.”

O’Malley Defends Clinton … Kind of

I like Hillary Clinton and I respect Secretary Clinton. I didn’t come here to talk about Secretary Clinton. I can tell you that in any of my dealings with her, or with the president, they have always been decent and straight up and honest with me. I also know for a fact that that foundation’s done a lot of good work to help a lot of people that are in need around the world — and I’ll leave it to them to answer more specific things.

— Former Maryland Gov. Martin O’Malley (D), quoted by Bloomberg, during a visit to New Hampshire.

Republicans Think Clinton’s Campaign is Over

A brief note to my Republican friends; go dark. Seriously. Stop talking. … The Clinton machine in all its arrogance and inertia is careening toward political disaster as the story of her illegal private email servers collides with a Washington and New York press corps that can’t, for once, easily look away. The story has a lot more stink in it than even what’s come to light so far. Only the GOP and conservatives can save her. … The press is possessed of a boundless desire to Change the Subject right now, and some intemperate remark would fit the bill perfectly. Don’t give them a shiny object… For God’s sake, take a deep breath and skip talking about your favorite social issue.

— Rick Wilson, writing in the Ricochet blog.

Does the Idea of Walker Match the Reality of Walker?

Scott Walker in 2015 is a lot like Barack Obama circa 2007; he’s relatively unknown and yet well-known at the same time. Obama’s speech at the DNC in 2004 propelled him to rock-star status among the Democratic faithful, while Walker’s victory over the public sector labor unions in 2011 made him a legend among conservatives. The Wisconsin Governor begins this campaign as a vessel into which voters can pour their hopes and aspirations. The question now is whether the idea of Walker can match up with the reality of Walker.

— Amy Walter, writing for the Cook Political Report.

‘ServerGate’ Unlikely to Have Lasting Effect on Clinton’s Campaign

The actual public response to the controversy is likely to be a combination of apathy and partisanship. Few Americans are paying attention to any aspect of the campaign at this point. Those who do notice will most likely divide largely along partisan lines, with Democrats interpreting her actions more charitably, especially once they see Republicans attacking Mrs. Clinton on the issue. … Any significant political costs are also likely to be fleeting because the revelations came so early in the campaign cycle. It is hard to believe that a lack of transparency in Mrs. Clinton’s use of email will have a significant effect on a general election that will be held some 20 months from now.

— Brendan Nyhan, writing in the New York Times.