Poll: Bush Losing His Base Over Iraq

Wingnuts wig out: It’s finally started to happen — things have gotten so bad in Iraq and the president is doing such a horrendously crappy job of leading the nation that his once-solid Republican base is eroding. Not that they actually “get it,” they apparently are just tired of staying the course with George, according to National Journal’s PollTrack:

A CBS poll conducted late last week tracked a 21-point drop-off among Republicans in support for Bush’s handling of Iraq.

President Bush’s approval numbers have long been somewhat deceptive. On the one hand, a popularity rating hovering in the 30s and 40s indicates that a lot of Americans don’t care for him. But partisan breakdowns have often revealed that he’s still popular with his conservative Republican base. A new CBS News survey shows the Iraq war sapping some wind from Bush’s sails.

In a poll that CBS News conducted with the New York Times in late October, 68 percent of Republican respondents approved of Bush’s war policy. Just 21 percent of independents and 7 percent of Democrats said the same.

Fast-forward to now. The long-awaited Baker-Hamilton report on Iraq is out, and Bush is scrambling to hear alternatives on how the White House should proceed before announcing what has been billed as a significant policy change in Iraq. The most recent CBS poll, conducted late last week, tracked a 21-point drop-off among Republicans in support for Bush’s handling of Iraq. Three-quarters of all respondents disapproved, a hike from the 64-percent disapproval in the previous survey.
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Bush Strategy Sessions on Iraq: White House Creates Another Fake Reality

If the Bush team had used half the intellect and energy they have expended over the past six years on lying, spinning, smearing and political machinations to try to govern competently,the country wouldn’t be in this terrible trap — and they would not be the worst presidential administration in our history

They way the newsers tell it, Pres. Bush and his team read the Iraq Study Group’s indictment of their abysmal war-making in Iraq last week and immediately set out to get advice on the war from a wide range of experts in Washington.

After the president has gathered advice, he, as the Decider, will formulate a new way forward. He’ll announce the plan in a speech to the nation.

It sounds reasonable, but it is not true.

The Bush team has known the contents of the report for weeks, if not months. Condi and crew undoubtedly negotiated with the ISG over the wording, especially the sections describing Bush’s incompetence.

The president’s strategy sessions this week are strictly from Potemkin. The Bushies know what they must do in Iraq, and hardly anything can stop them from doing it. It’s all about politics for them. The deaths of military personnel and innocent civilians are unfortunate collateral damage attendant to their political goals. Ditto the billions of taxpayer dollars.

Their political goal in taking the country to war was to give Bush status as a “war president,” so that, among other things, he would sail to reelection in 2004. Now they are focused on their legacy. They urgently need to de-escalate the violence. which is why they have probably already decided to go for the “surge” of an additonal 30,000 to 50,000 more troops into Iraq that John McCain and others have proposed.

This is literally the last-ditch military solution and it fits their timeframe. Any new major operation needs to be over or winding down by January 2008, when the political necessities of the Republican presidential candidates, especially McCain, begin to assert primacy over Bush’s desire to tart up his legacy.

Sending in a large wave of troops is problematic because it is similar to a failed strategy Pres. Lyndon Johnson undertook during the Vietnam War. On July 28, 1965, he announced he was committing an additional 50,000 troops to the war effort. Then as now, the goal of the deployment was to quell escalating violence so that order could be established.

It failed utterly. The enemy was energized and met the surge with counter-offensives. The war dragged on for another 10 years, until the fall of Saigon on April 30, 1975.

Joni Mitchell’s New Gallery Exhibit: ‘Art, Revolution and Torture’

Mitchell believed the photographs were infused with political undertones that somehow felt urgent.

Joni Mitchell retired from the music industry a few years ago and returned to her first love, painting. She has exhibited her work here in Los Angeles but usually with very little fanfare.

I found out about her latest show, “Green Flag Song,” in an unexpected place: the Opinion section of the Sunday Los Angeles Times.

Mitchell had nixed doing publicity for this exhibit altogether, but Megan Daum, who writes a weekly column for the Times, happened upon a banner promoting the exhibit on La Brea Avenue. She contacted the gallery owner, Zev Moross, and he set up an interview with Mitchell over dinner at restaurant in West Hollywood:

[Joni Mitchell] said she had had little interest in publicly showing her paintings but that the photographs were infused with political undertones that somehow felt urgent. Though the images, if you look close, range from shots from old movies to talk-show hosts to news coverage, the overall effect has the whiff of brutality.

“The theme of this show is ‘war, revolution and torture,'” she told me. “I was in such despair about the world’s current state of affairs that I didn’t even know where to start. I was taking a lot of landscape photos near my home in Canada. Then I got back to L.A. and suddenly I had this magical TV set.”

Mitchell talked a lot about the photos — “my bedroom lamp is reflected in a lot of them” — and about how she has ideas for more exhibitions. Though she “retired” from music several years ago, she’s writing new songs. She said they were hard in coming, that it’s easy to doubt yourself.

Links:

Another Evangelical Preacher Is Forced Out of the Closet

Paul Barnes of Grace Chapel, a 2,100-member church in the Denver suburbs, resigned last week and came out to his congregation in a 32-minute videotaped message that was played during services yesterday:

“I have struggled with homosexuality since I was a 5-year-old boy,” Barnes said in the 32- minute video, which church leaders permitted The Denver Post to view. “… I can’t tell you the number of nights I have cried myself to sleep, begging God to take this away.”

His wife, Char, cradled his hand.

Barnes’ resignation was prompted by an anonymous phone call to an associate pastor at the church. Barnes’ name had been mentioned, the caller said, as part of a campaign of “blowing the whistle” on closeted gay evangelicals.

On This Date – December 11

  • 2001 – The chairman of the militant Jewish Defense League, Irv Rubin, and an associate, Earl Krugel, were arrested on suspicion of plotting to blow up a Los Angeles mosque and the office of an Arab-American congressman. (Rubin died in November 2002, 10 days after what federal officials described as a suicide attempt in jail.) [Boston.com]
  • 2001 – Zacarias Moussaoui, a French citizen of Moroccan descent, was charged with conspiring to murder thousands in the suicide hijackings. Moussaoui’s were the first terrorism charges after the September 11, 2001, attacks. In 2005, Moussaoui pleaded guilty to conspiracy [Boston.com]

Bubble Boy Bush: The Founders Expected Our Presidents to Be At Least Average

The Founders did not offer a long list of job requirements for the office of the presidency but I’m sure they intended it to be filled by men of at least adequate skills.

As the days of George W. Bush’s final term in office grind slowly onward, the president increasingly finds himself on the opposite side of issues from the American public. While a normal president might care about this — strong leaders usually position themselves at the head of the parade — Pres. Bush really doesn’t give a damn what “the people” think.

In an op-ed in the Los Angeles Times yesterday, Jonathan Chait that Bush’s juvenile behavior reminds him of an episode from the “Twilight Zone” about a young boy who is given super powers that he is too immature to use wisely:

Through the misuse of his powers, the little boy has ruined the lives of everybody in the town — for instance, teleporting them into a cornfield, or summoning a snowstorm that destroys their crops. Because anyone who thinks an unhappy thought will be banished, the adults around him can do nothing but cheerfully praise his decisions while they try to nudge him in a less destructive direction.

Chait says he was reminded of the “Twilight Zone” episode when he read an account in Time Magazine of the behind-the-scenes coddling required to get Bush onboard the formation of the Iraq Study Group last spring. Three people involved in organizing the group approached Sec. of State Condoleeza Rice first:

“As the trio departed, a Rice aide asked one of her suitors not to inform anyone at the Pentagon that chairmen had been chosen and the study group was moving forward. If Rumsfeld was alerted to the study group’s potential impact, the aide said, he would quickly tell Cheney, who could, with a few words, scuttle the whole thing. Rice got through to Bush the next day, arguing that the thing was going to happen anyway, so he might as well get on board. To his credit, the President agreed.”

The article treats this exchange in a matter-of-fact way, but, what it suggests is completely horrifying. Rice apparently believed that Bush would simply follow the advice of whoever he spoke with. Therefore the one factor determining whether Bush would support the commission was whether Cheney or Rice managed to get to him first.

The Founders did not offer a list of job requirements for the office of the presidency but I’m sure they intended it to be filled by men of at least adequate skills. Maybe it sounds over the top, but I really do worry that the United States may not survive the next two years intact.

We Should Have Stopped Him

Mea culpa: Jon, Trish and I consider ourselves, and are actually considered by several others, as being relatively intelligent, if a bit socially inept. So we should have seen this coming. We could have stopped him, but we didn’t. And I can’t tell you why we didn’t see it coming.

We believe in a society built on three First Principles: Order, Justice and Freedom. These principles are the three legs of the stool upon which our society rests.

Tom DeLay has started his own weblog. If only we had secured the www.tomdelay.com domain, this wouldn’t have happened.

Here’s some of the crap you can find on Tom’s wingnut blog:

We are conservatives. We believe that our government is limited and our freedoms are guaranteed by the Constitution of the United States. We believe in a society built on three First Principles: Order, Justice and Freedom. These principles are the three legs of the stool upon which our society rests. With anyone of these legs removed the stool, and our society, topples. We recognize the right and the responsibility of every citizen to engage in the political processes of our republic and we commit ourselves to protect the principles we hold dear.

Stool, indeed. A whole pile of it. Here’s how DeLay describes the purpose of his “blog”:

This weblog is one small way for us help create the conditions for positive action. We will foster discussion and debate, by boldly putting forth conservative belief and principle. We all must recognize, however, that while we create an environment for thoughtful conservative dialogue, there is an even deeper need for bold conservative action as we struggle to return our government to its First Principles. It is my hope that TomDelay.com can provide us with some of the fuel we will need to sustain our real world movement. Toward that end we have established a grassroots action and information network (GAIN) that will seek members in every congressional district across the country to which we will take grassroots action to advance our cause.

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Miami Rep. Pushes Castro Killing in Video

Did she say it or didn’t she?

U.S. Rep. Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (R-Miami) claims a video of her saying she welcomed the assassination of Fidel Castro is sliced and diced. The makers of the British documentary, 638 Ways to Kill Castro, say it’s not.

…the Havana-born lawmaker, recently tapped to become the top Republican on the House International Relations Committee, says the filmmakers spliced clips together to make the sound bite.

“It’s twisted in a way that gives the viewer a totally wrong impression,” Ros-Lehtinen told the Miami Herald. “I’ve said the community has moved on, that those strategies are not being used today, but apparently the filmmakers think we’re still in a ’60s mentality.”

Still, she said, it was possible she has, at some point, mentioned Castro’s potential assassination.

“If someone were to do it, I wouldn’t be crying,” she said.

Oops, she did it again!

On This Date – December 10

Armand Hammer, CEO of Occidental Petroleum,a staunch supporter of presidents Nixon, Reagan and Bush — and long-suspected Soviet spy — died on December 10, 1990, in Los Angeles. He was 92 years old.

Hammer grew up in New York and received a medical degree from Columbia University, but never practiced medicine. Instead, in the 1920s, he went into the pharmaceuticals business in the newly formed Soviet Union.

His lifelong association with the Soviet government raised suspicions about his allegiance to the United States. After the fall of the Soviet Union, Hammer’s name was reportedly found in KGB files that described him as an agent vliyana, an “agent of influence” in the United States for the Soviet government. However (and not surprisingly), definitive proof that he was a Soviet spy has never been produced, and so his political legacy in international relations remains a riddle.

His record as an agent for the Republican Party is crystal clear, however. In 1976, Hammer was convicted on federal misdemeanor charges for funnelling hush money to the Watergate burglars during the Nixon years.

These convictions became problematic a decade later when Hammer embarked on a quixotic mission to be awarded a Nobel Peace Prize for his private diplomacy with the Soviets. After being nominated, however, he was thwarted by the fact that no previous recipient had ever had a criminal record.

Hammer requested a pardon from then-Pres. Reagan, sweetening the deal with an offer to donate $1.3 million to Reagan’s presidential library, which was to be built in Simi Valley, Calif. On his application, Hammer listed the reason for the requested pardon as “innocence.” When the Reagan team looked into his convictions, however, they found that he had pleaded guilty to the charges in order to get a better deal, and was therefore ineligible for the pardon on the basis of innocence.

Because Pres. Reagan failed to deliver the pardon, Hammer rescinded the donation to the library. The library sued to get the money but was unsuccessful.

Hammer soon got his pardon from Reagan’s successor, George H.W. Bush, however. At the end of Bush’s successful campaign for president, Hammer gave $110,000 to the Republican National Commmittee to allay campaign costs. He updated his pardon application, changing the reason for the request from “innocence” to “compassion.” On August 14, 1989, eight months after Bush was elected, he issued a full pardon for Hammer.

It was all for naught, however. Hammer lost the 1989 Nobel Peace to the Dalai Lama.

Hammer was born on May 21, 1898.

[Wiki, Counterpunch]