Trump Nears 50 Percent in Florida

48%

Donald Trump’s lead over the GOP presidential field among likely Republican voters in Florida, followed Ted Cruz at 16%, Marco Rubio at 11% and Jeb Bush at 10%, according to a new Florida Atlantic University poll. Said pollster Kevin Wagner: “At this point, Donald Trump is simply crushing the opposition in the Florida Republican primary. Not only has he increased his lead, Mr. Trump’s favorability ratings among Republicans are now ahead of his competitors by a substantial margin.”

For GOP to Survive, Trump and Cruz Must Lose

For Republicans, the only good outcome of Trump vs. Cruz is for both to lose. The future of the party as the carrier of a humane, inclusive conservatism now depends on some viable choice beyond them.

— Michael Gerson, who worked with Ted Cruz on George W. Bush’s first presidential campaign, writes in the Washington Post that “he is actually more of a demagogue than an ideologue.”

Cook: Cruz, Not Trump or Carson, to be Likely Anti-Establishment Candidate

I re­main con­vinced that between now and the March 1 Su­per Tues­day/SEC primar­ies, and par­tic­u­larly the March 15 set of primar­ies and some con­tests after, those angry and pro­foundly anti-­es­tab­lish­ment voters will have fin­ished vent­ing their spleens. They will have sent their angry mes­sages to the polit­ic­al es­tab­lish­ment and will turn to the ser­i­ous busi­ness of se­lect­ing a pres­id­ent, tak­ing in­to ac­count such things as tem­pera­ment and judg­ment, mark­ing the be­gin­ning of the end of their af­fair with Trump. They will co­alesce be­hind a more plaus­ible vehicle for their an­ger and anti­-es­tab­lish­ment views. That can­did­ate is likely to be Cruz.

— Charlie Cook, Cook Political Report.

Trump Maintains National Lead

35%

Donald Trump’s lead over the GOP presidential field, followed by Ted Cruz at 18% and Marco Rubio at 15%, according to the NBC News/SurveyMonkey Tracking Poll. Key takeaway: “Perhaps surprisingly, Trump also has the highest support among white evangelical voters — 33%. Although Ben Carson did fairly well among white evangelicals (12%), the group heavily favored Trump. Cruz also did well with white evangelicals, with 2 in 10 supporting him.”

Cruz Raising Phenomenal Amounts of Money

$20 million

Amount Sen. Ted Cruz raised for his presidential campaign in the fourth quarter — a 66% increase over the previous three-month period, the Wall Street Journal reports. “The $20 million haul in the final three months of 2015 is up sharply from the $12.2 million raised in the third quarter, a bonanza that came as polls showed Mr. Cruz rising to a top-tier candidate from a back-of-the-pack contender in the crowded GOP candidate field. … By the end of the third quarter, Mr. Cruz already had more cash on hand than any other GOP candidate.”

Cruz Now Leads in Iowa

24%

A new Monmouth University poll in Iowa finds Ted Cruz surging into the lead, followed by Donald Trump at 19%, Marco Rubio at 17%, Ben Carson at 13%, and Jeb Bush at 6%. Said pollster Patrick Murray: “This marks the first time Ted Cruz has held a lead in any of the crucial early states. As Ben Carson’s stock has fallen, Cruz has been able to corral most of those voters. Rep. Steve King’s endorsement may not be the primary reason for this swing, but it certainly put a stamp on the Cruz surge in Iowa.”