Trump Could Win

If you aren’t seriously contemplating the biggest black-swan event in American electoral history, you aren’t paying attention. … Fifteen months ago, Donald Trump was a reality-TV star with a spotty business record and a weird penchant for proclaiming he was on the verge of running for president. Now, he’s perhaps a few big breaks and a couple of sterling debate performances away from being elected 45th president of the United States. … And, no, stranger things haven’t happened.

— Rich Lowry

Older White Voters Could Win Florida for Trump

12.4 million

Number of active registered voters in Florida, more than 3.3 million of whom are older than 65, making it the largest age group on the rolls (followed by those 50 to 64). The elderly also have the highest turnout rate in Florida, Politico reports. “Without the backing of older whites, polls indicate Trump would lose Florida — in this retirement mecca, the elderly are still a force at the ballot box. … But at its core, the race is about race, about motivating white versus non-white voters. The whiter the electorate, the likelier it is Trump wins. And older whites are keeping Trump in the hunt. … When it comes to race, non-Hispanic whites are 65 percent of the overall voter rolls and are the most-reliable voters.”

Ivanka Trump Gives Full-Throated Defense of Father’s Maternity Plan — NOT!

Cosmopolitian: OK, I just wanted to make sure I understood. In 2004, Donald Trump said that pregnancy is an inconvenient thing for a business. It’s surprising to see this policy from him today. Can you talk a little bit about those comments, and perhaps what has changed?

Ivanka Trump: So I think that you have a lot of negativity in these questions, and I think my father has put forth a very comprehensive and really revolutionary plan to deal with a lot of issues. So I don’t know how useful it is to spend too much time with you on this if you’re going to make a comment like that.

— Ivanka Trump, not talking to Cosmopolitan about her father’s new childcare and maternity leave policy.

Trump’s Business Could Present an Array of Security Challenges, Conflicts of Interest

A close examination by Newsweek of the Trump Organization, including confidential interviews with business executives and some of its international partners, reveals an enterprise with deep ties to global financiers, foreign politicians and even criminals, although there is no evidence the Trump Organization has engaged in any illegal activities. It also reveals a web of contractual entanglements that could not be just canceled. If Trump moves into the White House and his family continues to receive any benefit from the company, during or even after his presidency, almost every foreign policy decision he makes will raise serious conflicts of interest and ethical quagmires.

Your Might Be in the ‘Basket of Deplorables’ If …

Few people embrace the “racist” label, so let’s help them. If you are “very enthusiastic” about a candidate who has based his campaign on scapegoating immigrants, Latinos and African Americans, talked of banning Muslims from the country, hesitated to disown the Ku Klux Klan and employed anti-Semitic imagery — well, you might be a racist. But if you are holding your nose and supporting Trump only because you think him better than Clinton, that doesn’t put you in the basket.

— The Washington Post

Mexican Peso Tracking with Trump Political Fortunes

US$0.05229

Current rate of exchange for the Mexican peso against the U.S. dollar. “If you want to know how Donald Trump is doing, all you need to do is check the Mexican peso,” Bloomberg reports. “Over the past four months, Mexico’s currency has repeatedly declined when Trump’s election outlook improves and rallied when his odds of winning slump. The peso tumbled to a 2 1/2-month low Monday after his Democratic rival, Hillary Clinton, canceled a two-day trip to California because she’s suffering from pneumonia.”

Trump Bragged as the Towers Smoldered

40 Wall Street actually was the second-tallest building in downtown Manhattan, and it was actually, before the World Trade Center, was the tallest — and then, when they built the World Trade Center, it became known as the second-tallest. And now it’s the tallest.

— Donald Trump, giving an interview to WWOR on Sept. 11, 2001, saying his building was now the tallest in lower Manhattan, as the Twin Towers lay smoldering in ruins.

Polls Show Clinton Was Right about Trump’s Alt-Right ‘Basket of Deplorables’

graph-polling-trump-deplorables

After shrugging off Donald Trump’s steady stream of lies and incendiary remarks about African-Americans, Latinos, women and Muslims for more than a year, the media is now in a full pearl-clutching froth over this “politically incorrect” statement by Hillary Clinton a fundraiser late last week:

You know, just to be grossly generalistic, you could put half of Trump’s supporters into what I call the basket of deplorables. Right? The racist, sexist, homophobic, xenophobic, Islamaphobic?—?you name it. And unfortunately there are people like that. And he has lifted them up. He has given voice to their websites…He tweets and retweets their offensive hateful mean-spirited rhetoric. He has given voice to their websites that used to only have 11,000 people — now have 11 million. He tweets and retweets their offensive, hateful, mean-spirited rhetoric. Now, some of those folks — they are irredeemable, but thankfully they are not America.

The fury with which Trump and surrogates have responded is evidence that Clinton struck a nerve. Predictably, their retaliation is based on lying. They insist that Clinton’s statement was a smear against all Republicans and conservatives when, in fact, she was specifically referring to the white supremacist alt-right base of Trump’s support.

Of course, as these things always go, the pundits are focused on whether Clinton’s statement was politically damaging while ignoring the fact that what she said is true.

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