Tag: campaign 2024
Poll: Biden Leads Trump Nationally
50% to 48%
A new NPR/PBS/Marist Poll finds Joe Biden leading Donald Trump nationally in the presidential race, 50% to 48%. When third party candidates are added as choices, the race is tied at 42% each.
Trump Holds Slim Lead in Red Florida
2%
A new University of North Florida poll in Florida finds Donald Trump leading Joe Biden, 47% to 45% among likely voters. About 4% said another candidate, 2% said they do not plan on voting, and 3% said they do not know, or refused to answer.
Marist Poll: Biden Leads Trump Nationally
51% to 48%
A new Marist poll finds Joe Biden leading Donald Trump nationally among registered voters, 51% to 48%. In a multi-candidate field, Biden is up by five percentage points against Trump, 43% to 38% among registered voters, followed by Robert F. Kennedy Jr. at 14%, Cornel West at 2%, and Jill Stein at 2%.Among those who definitely plan to vote, Biden leads Trump 46% to 39% in this same multi-candidate field.
Voters Care About ‘Protecting Democracy’
28%
NBC News poll: “‘Protecting democracy’ is a salient issue for voters. There’s a difference between what voters identify as the ‘most important issue facing the country’ (on that, “inflation and the cost of living’ registers 23%, followed by immigration/the border, at 22%) and what they identify as the issue most important in determining their own vote (on that, ‘protecting democracy or constitutional rights’ was on top with 28%, followed by immigration/the border at 20% and abortion at 19%).”
RFK Jr. Draws More from Trump than Biden
15% to 7%
NBC poll: “RFK Jr.’s support draws more from Trump than Biden. Though the CW is that Kennedy is a bigger threat to Biden than to Trump, the numbers here tell a different story: 15% of Trump supporters and 7% of Biden supporters in the head-to-head matchup break for RFK Jr. when the field expands to include third-party candidates.”
Biden Leading Trump Among Young Voters
56% to 37%
A new Harvard Institute of Politics poll of voters under age 30 finds Joe Biden leading Donald Trump 56% to 37% among likely voters. Pollster John Della Volpe: “For a Democrat to comfortably win the Electoral College, he or she needs to win 60 percent of the youth vote. Biden and Obama, ’12 and ’20, won 60 percent. Obama got 66 percent in ’08. John Kerry and Hillary Clinton got 55 percent. Biden is in the mid-50s. Can you improve that to get to 60 percent? It’s within reach.“
Trump’s Donor Base is Dwindling
270,000
Financial Times: “In another troubling sign for Republican fundraising efforts, Trump has 270,000 fewer unique donors than he did at the same stage of his 2020 White House run. His campaign and affiliated political action committees got money from 900,000 donors from July 2023 to the end of the first quarter of 2024, down from 1.17 million four years earlier.”
Kennedy Family Members to Endorse Biden A message to Bobby Jr.
Boston Globe: In their sharpest rebuke yet of Robert F. Kennedy Jr., several prominent members of the Kennedy political dynasty are endorsing President Biden for reelection on Thursday, standing with the Democratic incumbent even as their relative seeks the White House this fall in a campaign that has traded on the family name. A black sheep of the powerful family for years, RFK Jr. has drawn even more explicit criticism from his relatives in the year since he launched his campaign for president, running first as a “Kennedy Democrat,” and now as a third-party candidate fighting for ballot access across the country.
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The family members who are endorsing Biden include: Rory Kennedy, Kerry Kennedy, Joe Kennedy II, Beth Kennedy, Joe Kennedy III, Christopher Kennedy, Maxwell Taylor Kennedy, Vicki Strauss Kennedy, Kathleen Kennedy Townsend, Kerry Kennedy Meltzer, Max Meltzer, Ted Kennedy Jr., Stephen Kennedy Smith, Peter McKelvy, and Rebeca McKelvy. Endorsements are likely to come from Caroline Kennedy Schlossberg and Maria Shriver.
