Tag: campaign 2024
On Vance as Trump’s VP Pick
Remember why Trump chose Mike Pence in 2016. Trump needed to reassure Republicans who were on the fence about him and unify the party. Pence was supposed to rein Trump in and prevent him from making erratic and potentially dangerous decisions as president. Vance, on the other hand, is a staunch Trump loyalist, and no elected Republican is voicing concerns — at least publicly — about him. Trump’s pick underscores the unity Republicans feel at this particular moment. Trump just survived an assassination attempt, Democrats are in crisis over President Joe Biden’s ability to win and Trump is leading in most swing states.
— Punchbowl News
Odds of a Biden Win Growing Longer
27%
Nate Silver updated his election forecast and finds Joe Biden has a 27% chance of winning the electoral vote. His chances were 35% just before the presidential debate.
A Trump-Worthy Ploy
Major Dem donors want to get rid of Joe Biden.
His stubborn obstinacy has sorely tried ’em.
So they’ll withhold $90 million,
To see if that will compel ‘im.
As D.J. Trump might say, if you can’t dissuade ’em, bribe ’em.
Pollster Says Trump Has Edge in Electoral College
2 points
Eli McKown-Dawson: “Even if Biden fully makes up his 3-point deficit in the national polls, he’ll still be favored to lose the election. Specifically, our model thinks that the Electoral College will be biased in Trump’s favor by about 2 points in 2024. … This means that Biden is only favored to win the election if he wins the popular vote by 2 points or more; he’s the underdog otherwise.”
Presidential Race Is Still Tight
41% to 40%
A new Data for Progress poll finds Donald Trump edging Joe Biden in a six person race, 41% to 40%. They are followed by Robert F. Kennedy Jr. at 10%, and minor party candidates Cornel West, Jill Stein, and Chase Oliver each at 1%. In a two-way race, Biden is slightly ahead of Trump, 47% to 46%.
Jayapal Offers a Not-Resounding Endorsement of Biden’s Run for Prez
“At the end of the day, he is our nominee right now ‘til he’s not our nominee.”
— Rep. Pramila Jayapal (D-WA), quoted by the Wall Street Journal, on President Biden.
Adelson-Backed Super Pact Set to Spend Big for GOP
$61 million
“Donald Trump’s allies are moving to capitalize on Joe Biden’s stumbles,” Politico reports. “A big-spending super PAC linked to Republican mega-donor Miriam Adelson is set to spend $61 million on TV and digital ads attacking Biden, as the besieged president faces calls from within his own party to step aside following his disastrous debate performance.”
The Atlantic: The Absurdity of the Dump-Biden Uprising Stuart Stevens: 'What is it about the Democratic Party that engenders this kind of self-doubt and fear? '
Stuart Stevens in The Atlantic: Millions vote for a candidate, propelling him to victory. Before the voters’ decision is formally certified, people who don’t like the outcome demand that the election results be thrown out and a different candidate selected in a closed process. That was America on January 6, 2021. And now, some in the Democratic Party want to follow a similar script…
I worked in five presidential campaigns for Republicans and helped elect Republican senators and governors in more than half of the country. For decades, I made ads attacking the Democratic Party. But in all those years, I never saw anything as ridiculous as the push, in the aftermath of last week’s debate, to replace Joe Biden as the Democratic nominee. For many in the party, the event raised genuine concerns about the incumbent’s fitness for a new term. But a president’s record makes a better basis for judgment than a 90-minute broadcast does. Biden has a capable vice president, should he truly become unable to serve. The standard for passing over Democratic voters’ preferred nominee should be extraordinarily high—and has not been met.
The fundamental danger of Donald Trump is that he’s an autocrat who refuses to accept the will of the voters. So the proper response is to throw out millions of votes, dump the overwhelming choice, and replace him with someone selected by a handful of insiders? What will the message be: “Our usurper is better than your usurper”?
What is it about the Democratic Party that engenders this kind of self-doubt and fear?
