Month: August 2016
Number of Registered Lobbyists Continues to Drop
9,276
With 325 fewer lobbyists registered in the second quarter of 2016 than in the first, this marks the biggest single-quarter drop in four years and puts the number of registered lobbyists at the lowest point OpenSecrets has ever recorded. Since 1998, the total number of lobbyists has never dipped below 10,000, but that figure has been falling ever since it peaked at nearly 15,000 in 2007 and this quarter’s decrease puts it at just more than 9,700.
Investors Still Prefer Trump — Slightly
42% to 40%
A Bloomberg Politics/Morning Consult poll found registered voters with money in the market narrowly pick Donald Trump over Hillary Clinton, by 2%, as they believe he who would be better for their holdings. But that’s down from a Trump advantage of 50% to 33% when a similar survey was taken in June.
Trump: To Pivot Would Be Ungenuine
Well, possibly I do, but, you know, I am who I am. It’s me. I don’t wanna change. Everybody talks about, ‘Oh, well you’re gonna pivot, you’re gonna’ — I don’t wanna pivot. I mean, you have to be you. If you start pivoting, you’re not being honest with people.
— Donald Trump, in an interview with WKBT-TV, on whether he needs to change after facing an onslaught of bad polls.
Washington Insiders Overwhelmingly Back Clinton
62% to 22%
A new Washington Examiner/Echelon Insights poll of Washington, D.C., insiders finds Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump by 40 points.
Real Trump Supporters Vet Fake Trump Ads
It’s become clear by this point in the presidential campaign that voters who support Donald Trump are inured to his most outrageous proposals and ridiculous policy positions. But how inured are they? Triumph the Insult Comic Dog explores that question in a series of focus groups testing potential TV ads.
Of course, to date, Trump has spent $00.00 on television advertising while the networks have given him $2 billion worth of free coverage, so it’s unlikely he’ll shell out for these ads — unless he has another week like the last one …
Is Clinton Just a Field Goal Away from Winning?
88%
Hillary Clinton’s chance of winning, according to the Upshot’s model: “It’s about the same probability of hitting a field goal from the 20-yard line. … That’s a pretty good way to think about it. If Mrs. Clinton ultimately wins, we will probably look back and say she had more or less already won it by this point. If she loses, these next two months will be talked about for decades. … The game-winning field-goal analogy has one big weakness: She may win this by a lot more than a field goal.” — Nate Cohn
It’s No Time for Complacency, Democrats
At some point, complacency could become an issue, although it’s probably too early to worry about that. In the nearer term, I’d be worried that the race has been so volatile. Sure, things look good now. But conditions in May, and then again in July, produced a close race. Is there anything inherently preventing those conditions from arising again? I suppose I’d wonder about what Wikileaks has up its sleeve and what sort of geopolitical events could work in Trump’s favor.
— Nate Silver
It’s ‘Extreme’ Alright
Migrants are responsible for beheadings,
Rape, pillage, murder and blood-letting.
So to save our fair nation
From foul criminal immigration,
Donald Trump wants to implement “extreme vetting.”


