All the caveats apply: Election Day is three months off, and any number of things could happen to upend the Obama campaign; polls this early out are a snapshot in time; and most of the independent voters who will decide the election if it is close haven not yet engaged — except for those who were watching coverage of the opening of the London Olympics.
Keep in mind that Obama-Biden beat McCain-Palin by 7 points in 2008.
More about that in a bit. First, three new polls released this week have produced remarkably similar results — and all show voters, particularly independents, moving away from Mitt Romney.
The new CNN/ORC International poll finds Pres. Obama with an 11 point lead over Romney among independents, 53 to 42 percent. The president leads by 7 points overall, 52 to 45 percent. The Reuters-Ipsos poll also released yesterday found the same 7-point gap among all registered voters, 49 to 42 percent.
The Fox News poll also gives the president an 11-point lead among independents, up from 4 points last month. He has a 9 point lead over Romney overall, 49 to 40 percent.
Here’s a key point of reference: Obama-Biden won the 2008 election over McCain-Palin by 7.2 percentage points.
So what is behind Romney’s slippage? […]