The Florida Democratic primary, which wraps up tomorrow, has been a mess from the get-go. The decision to move the primary date up from March, which was apparently proposed by a Democrat and then heavily promoted by the Republicans who control the state, put the Florida Democratic party into a nasty conflict with the national party, which resulted in sanctions against Florida Dems.
“Had Florida sat back and had its primary in March or even in February after Super Tuesday, Florida voters would have been in the catbird seat to determine the nominee.”
– Daniel Smith
The national party has forbidden candidates to campaign in Florida (but fundraising is okay, of course) and the delegates from tomorrow’s winner-take-all election will not be seated at the convention. (The nominee can, and doubtless will, rescind this order, however, if it is to his or her advantage.)
And yet, early voting is well underway among Florida’s 4 million Democrats, and is said to be brisk. Our colleague Trish voted early for John Edwards. She is part of a trend that is a strong indicator of a lot of energy on the left in the state, despite the shenanigans with the calendar:
State party officials are buoyed by the nearly 300,000 ballots cast by early and absentee voters. As of late Wednesday, 170,806 Democrats had cast their ballots at early voting locations, and 125,126 had sent in absentee ballots, according to the Florida Democratic Party.
The American Research Group’s poll yesterday, showed Hillary Clinton leading by 33 percentage points:
| Candidate |
Jan. 26 |
Jan. 21 |
| Clinton |
60 percent |
59 percent |
| Obama |
27 percent |
21 percent |
| Edwards |
9 percent |
14 percent |
| Undecided |
4 percent |
5 percent |
(Kucinich and Gravel shared a little over 1 percent.)
Here are ARG’s GOP numbers:
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