Poll: GOP, President Bush Losing Evangelicals’ Support
Burning Bush: It appears that Bible thumpers, tongue speakers, snake handlers and full-immersionists are joining Wal-Mart shoppers in turning away from the president and the Republican Party. After reading Jon’s post, I checked my e-mail and, lo and behold, therein found a Pew Research Center poll analysis on the same topic. Following are highlights of the analysis:
White evangelical Protestants make up over a third of those who identify with the GOP and vote for its candidates. But they, like other voters, are feeling voter disillusionment with President Bush and the Republican Party, and their level of support has significantly diminished from where it was in 2002 and 2004.
From 1999 to 2004, the number of evangelicals identifying themselves as Republicans grew dramatically from 39 percent in 1999 to 47 percent in 2001, peaking at 49 percent in 2004 and 2005.
Signs of Evangelical Frustration
The number of evangelicals who have a favorable opinion of the GOP was 74 percent in the 2004 election. But it dropped to 54 percent last fall following Hurricane Katrina, before recovering to 63 percent earlier in 2006. By July of this year, however, it had declined to 54 percent.
There also has been a significant downturn in the number of evangelicals who believe the Republican Party “governs in an honest and ethical way.” In January 2006, a majority of evangelicals (55 percent) said that this phrase better described the Republican Party than the Democratic Party. In a poll conducted this month, however, just 42 percent of evangelicals still held this view, a drop of 13 percentage points.
Evangelicals also became less likely over the past year to say that the Republican Party was “religion friendly.” In a July 2006 poll, 49 percent of white evangelicals described the GOP as friendly to religion, a decline of 14 percent from one year earlier.
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