Tag: Election 2016

Trump Edging Clinton

Buck Banks

46% to 44%

Spread by which a new Washington Post/ABC News poll shows Donald Trump just ahead of Hillary Clinton in the presidential race. Key findings: “Never in the history of the Post-ABC poll have the two major party nominees been viewed as harshly as Clinton and Trump. Nearly 6 in 10 registered voters say they have negative impressions of both major candidates. Overall, Clinton’s net negative rating among registered voters is minus-16, while Trump’s is minus-17, though Trump’s numbers have improved since March.”

Election Bodes Ill for GOP

Buck Banks

60%

Of Republican voters will support the eventual GOP nominee if their candidate is not chosen, a majority of Donald Trump supporters said they would vote for the businessman if he were to lose the nomination and run as a third-party candidate, according to a new Suffolk University/USA Today poll. Meanwhile, 40% of Republicans whose favored candidate is not nominated said they will vote for the Democratic nominee, seriously consider a third-party candidate, stay home on Election Day in November, or are undecided.

Clinton Has Narrow Lead Over Trump in Fall Projection

Buck Banks

46% to 43%

Hillary Clinton’s lead over Donald Trump in a general election matchup, with 11% undecided, according to a new GW Battleground Poll. Pollster Ed Goeas: “The Republican Party has a strongly favorable political environment for winning the White House. If a mainstream Republican candidate were the presumptive nominee, the GOP would likely be in a strong position for a lot of wins, top to bottom, in November.”

Ted Cruz as Change Agent

Buck Banks

Ted Cruz is Matt Bev­in , on a na­tion­al level… Demo­crats and Re­pub­lic­ans alike dis­miss his chances in a gen­er­al elec­tion at their own risk. The main reas­on Cruz will be com­pet­it­ive for the pres­id­ency is the fun­da­ment­al real­ity of the 2016 elec­tion. With the back­drop of a dis­af­fected elect­or­ate and a deeply po­lar­iz­ing pres­id­ent leav­ing of­fice after two terms, any Re­pub­lic­an nom­in­ee be­ne­fits from be­ing the can­did­ate of change.

— National Journal

Why Ryan Won’t Run

Buck Banks

The backdrop of all his denials is the political reality that Ryan would likely lose. Most public polling has him faring relatively poorly in a potential matchup with Clinton. … Ryan would be forced to launch and run a presidential campaign in three months. His experience from 2012 would help, but even the most talented campaigner would be at a disadvantage on such a compressed timetable.

— Politico

Florida GOP Congressman May Vote for Clinton

Buck Banks

I think both Donald Trump and Mrs. Clinton are flawed candidates, if you look at the polls the majority of Americans have negative views on both of them. So I am going to wait and see what happens on our side, but I have already said I will not support Mr. Trump, that is not a political decision that is a moral decision.

— Rep. Carlos Curbelo (R-FL), who “has been telling some Democrats in his district he would vote for Hillary Clinton over Donald Trump if those were his two choices,” CBS Miami reports.