Sanders Fading in New Hampshire

13%

A new Emerson poll in New Hampshire finds Joe Biden leading the Democratic presidential race with 24%, followed by Elizabeth Warren at 21%, Bernie Sanders at 13%, Pete Buttigieg at 11%, Kamala Harris at 8%, Tulsi Gabbard at 6%, Cory Booker at 4%, Andrew Yang at 3% and John Delaney at 3%. In February, Sanders led the race with 27%.

Waiting for the Septuagenarian Slugfest to Start

“Every public poll shows a steady and indisputable trend: The Democratic 2020 race is a three-way brawl between 70-somethings who came to fame in the U.S. Senate. … In this era of change, technology and disruption, Democrats seem content with three pre-Internet era throwbacks: Bernie Sanders, 78; Joe Biden, 76; and Elizabeth Warren, 70. … The Democratic nominee will run against 73-year-old President Trump.”

Jim VandeHei

Biden Maintains His Lead

29%

A new Washington Post/ABC News poll finds Joe Biden leading the Democratic presidential race with29%, followed by Bernie Sanders at 19%, Elizabeth Warren at 18%. Kamala Harris is next at 7%, followed by Pete Buttigieg at 4%, Beto O’Rourke at 3% and Andrew Yang at 3%. Key takeaway: “Nearly 6 in 10 Democratic-leaning voters say they would consider switching to support another candidate for the party’s nomination or that they still don’t have a preference.”

Williamson Suggests the Power of Mind could Steer Hurricane Dorian

“The Bahamas, Florida, Georgia and the Carolinas … may all be in our prayers now. Millions of us seeing Dorian turn away from land is not a wacky idea; it is a creative use of the power of the mind. Two minutes of prayer, visualization, meditation for those in the way of the storm.”

— A tweet, since deleted, by Democratic presidential hopeful Marianne Williamson, reported by the Washington Post.

Biden Team Already Lowering Expectations

“We must be getting closer to the primaries and caucuses, because Joe Biden’s team on Tuesday began the job of lowering expectations. They’re now making the case that the former vice president could still take the nomination even if he doesn’t win in either Iowa or New Hampshire. … As Steve Kornacki correctly says, no one has actually done this since the modern nomination system began in 1972. (And as Kornacki adds, Bill Clinton in 1992 doesn’t count because all the other candidates conceded Iowa to home-state Senator Tom Harkin.) … It’s not just that failing to win would hurt Biden; it’s that failing to win would mean someone else won, and that candidate might be well positioned to capitalize on an early victory.”

Jonathan Bernstein