One Day Priebus Grew a Pair

[RNC Chairman Reince] Priebus was on vacation when he learned that Trump had declined to endorse Paul Ryan, the Speaker of the House and a close friend. The chairman had a frank message for the nominee, according to two Republican officials briefed on the call. Priebus told Trump that internal GOP polling suggested he was on track to lose the election. And if Trump didn’t turn around his campaign over the coming weeks, the Republican National Committee would consider redirecting party resources and machinery to House and Senate races.

Time

Trump at Fourth Place Among Black Voters

4th

Donald Trump’s place in the presidential race, trailing Hillary Clinton, Libertarian Gary Johnson and Green Party nominee Jill Stein among black voters. Harry Enten: “It wasn’t that long ago that Donald Trump liked to boast about his support from black voters… But Trump is polling worse among black voters than almost every single Republican presidential nominee since 1948 in polls taken between the party conventions and Election Day.”

It’s Probably Already Over

Journalistic neutrality allegedly forces us to say that the race isn’t over until November, and most media organizations prefer to hype the presidential contest to generate viewers and readers rather than explain why a photo finish is unlikely. … But a dispassionate examination of the data, combined with a cold-blooded look at the candidates, the campaigns and presidential elections, produces only one possible conclusion: Hillary Clinton will defeat Donald Trump in November, and the margin isn’t likely to be as close as Barack Obama’s victory over Mitt Romney.

Stuart Rothenberg