Divorce Has Declined Since Gay Unions Were Legalized, So Where Is Threat to ‘Opposite’ Marriage?

Kill the Gays: Poster from a National Organization for Marriage "rally" in Indiana this week
Kill the Gays: Poster from a National Organization for Marriage rally in Indiana this week - Click photo to read more
One of the most nonsensical claims by opponents of gay marriage is that it is a threat to “traditional marriage,” by which they mean what their intellectual hero, Carrie Prejean, the disgraced former Miss California USA, referred to as “opposite marriage.”

For people who aren’t tuned into the debate, the canard that gay marriage threatens heterosexual marriage sounds vaguely reasonable — like marriage is a zero-sum game and that as gay marriage increases so will the divorce rate among straight couples.

A recent report from Pew Research indicates that the opposite of that is true:

The national divorce rate is higher now than it was a century ago, but it has been declining for the past two decades. According to provisional data for most states from the Centers for Disease Control, there were 3.5 divorces per 1,000 people in 2008, compared with 4 per 1,000 people in 2000. (Marriage rates have also declined but the divorce rate also has declined if expressed as the number of divorces per 1,000 married couples.) [Emphasis added.]

The year 2000 is key here. Before 2000, anti-gay activists had been winning their war against gay marriage, including the passage of the Defense of Marriage Act by Congress in 1996. In 2000, however, the course of the war began to change, and the good guys started to win:

[…]

Verbatim

The law doesn’t require you to be a successful crook. It just requires you to be a crook.

— Assistant U.S. Attorney Christopher Niewoehner, quoted by the Chicago Tribune, making closing arguments in the corruption trial of former Illinois Gov. Rod Blagojevich.