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6%
“The titanic Biden-Trump election likely will be decided by roughly 6% of voters in just six states, top strategists in both parties tell us,” Axios reports. A Trump insider said that persuadable voters are below 10% in every battleground: “I think it’s probably 6% in Wisconsin but 8% in Michigan, and lower in Arizona.”
51%
A new Bloomberg News/Morning Consult poll find 51% of registered voters “in the seven states that will decide the 2024 presidential election said they either strongly or somewhat support aid to Israel. … That’s down 11 percentage points from November, when 62% of respondents said they supported the aid.”
22
“A manufacturing recession may already be under way in vulnerable swing states, challenging President Donald Trump’s campaign promise to deliver blue-collar jobs to his base,” NBC News reports. “Out of the 22 states with manufacturing job losses so far this year, some of those with the biggest percentage declines are states where Trump won by less than 5 percentage points.”
7
Number of swing states in play on the 2016 Electoral Map, according to Crystal Ball: “This map feels like déjà vu: It’s effectively the same map we featured for much of the 2012 cycle, and it unmistakably suggests the Democratic nominee should start the election as at least a marginal Electoral College favorite over his or (probably) her Republican rival. However, at the starting gate it is wiser to argue that the next election is basically a 50-50 proposition.”
