Paul Ryan’s Congressional Campaign Goes Up with Ads in His District Despite Claiming 25 Point Lead over Democratic Challenger Rob Zerban

Wisconsin Democratic U.S. House candidate Rob Zerban
Wisconsin Democratic U.S. House candidate Rob Zerban
The Associated Press is reporting that Republican vice presidential nominee Rep. Paul Ryan is launching ads in his Wisconsin district in support of his campaign to retain his House seat if he and Mitt Romney lose in the fall.

The ad buy comes after the campaigns of both Ryan and his Democratic challenger Rob Zerban, a business owner and elected county official, released information on separate, private polls that produced widely different results:

[The Ryan campaign’s] survey of 400 likely voters showed a gap of 58 to 33 percent between the two candidates, with a 4.9 percent margin of error both ways. Libertarian challenger Keith Deschler trailed at 3 percent…

A 400-person poll conducted by the Zerban campaign found the race jumped to an 8-point difference when likely voters were informed about both candidates. The additional information told to those polled and the percentage difference without that information was not available Tuesday.

It is strange that Ryan’s congressional campaign rushed to produce ads after its own internal poll found that Ryan had a 25-point lead over Zerban.

This does not add up.